BoE seen holding rates in September, economists split on timing of next interest rate cuts ...Middle East

All 67 economists surveyed agreed on a September hold,

42 anticipating a Q4 cut, three seeing a 50 bp move, and 22 (about one-third) predicting no cuts for the rest of the year.

Some economists argue inflation’s persistence makes further cuts too risky, warning of drifting expectations. Others believe easing in November is still likely if data softens.

The UK economy is expected to grow modestly at 0.2–0.4% q/q through 2026, with annual growth averaging just above 1%. Meanwhile, the BoE continues shrinking its balance sheet, with economists forecasting a further £50–100bn reduction in bond holdings over the next year.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

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