Germany will play in their first knockout-stage game since the 2014 final when they face off against Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup. Look ahead to Monday’s last-32 contest in Boston with our Germany vs Paraguay prediction and preview.
Germany vs Paraguay: The Key Insights
Germany are considered favourites by the Opta supercomputer for this last-32 clash, with a win probability of 54.7% to Paraguay’s 23.1%. Germany are playing their first World Cup knockout-stage match since winning the 2014 final in Brazil. Paraguay have played five knockout-stage games in their history, but have failed to score in each.Germany are gearing up for a first knockout-stage match since the 2014 final when they face Paraguay in the last 32 of the 2026 World Cup at Boston Stadium on Monday.
Julian Nagelsmann’s men finished top of Group E, but did not always convince during the pool stage.
After starting with a 7-1 hammering of minnows Curaçao, they needed a rescue act from Julio Enciso assisted both of his nation’s goals in the group stage, and the Strasbourg winger leads all Paraguay players at World Cup 2026 for chances created (5), open-play chances created (3), big chances created (1), and expected assists (0.22). He has also applied more high-intensity pressures in the opponent’s half this tournament than any of his teammates (84).
Paraguay have reached the knockout stages for the fifth time in their history, but they have progressed just once from five previous knockout ties.
That occasion was their only game against a non-European nation, with Paraguay winning a penalty shootout against Japan in the round of 16 in 2010.
Moreover, they are yet to score a goal in the knockout stages of the World Cup from those five games. That represents the longest run of knockout games without scoring by any side in the tournament’s history.
Germany vs Paraguay Head-to-Head
Germany and Paraguay have faced each other on two previous occasions, including once at the World Cup.
The Germans were victorious on that occasion at the 2002 World Cup in Japan and South Korea, with Oliver Neuville scoring a late goal in a 1-0 last-16 victory.
Their other contest was a 2013 friendly, with the teams playing out a lively 3-3 draw.
In that 2002 campaign, Germany went on to reach the final and eventually lost 2-0 to Brazil. Since then, they have progressed from each of their last five World Cup knockout matches against South American nations.
Paraguay, though, have lost all four of their previous World Cup knockout ties against European opposition and failed to score in each of those matches.
Germany vs Paraguay Prediction
The Opta supercomputer has Germany as the strong favourites to progress to the last 16.
Nagelsmann’s side have a 54.7% chance of winning the game inside 90 minutes, compared to 23.1% for Paraguay.
The draw in 90 minutes is considered a 22.3% chance, which would obviously mean extra-time and potentially a penalty shootout.
In terms of the competition overall, Germany are 78.6% likely to reach the last 16, while their chances of winning the tournament stand at 4.4% – the eighth highest of the 32 remaining teams.
By contrast, Paraguay’s chances of making the next round sit at 21.4%, while their probability of lifting the trophy is a mere 0.1%.
Germany vs Paraguay Squads
Germany: Manuel Neuer, Oliver Baumann, Alexander Nübel, Antonio Rüdiger, Waldemar Anton, Jonathan Tah, Nathaniel Brown, David Raum, Malick Thiaw, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Pascal Groß, Angelo Stiller, Florian Wirtz, Nadiem Amiri, Felix Nmecha, Assan Ouédraogo, Kai Havertz, Jamie Leweling, Nick Woltemade, Maximilian Beier, Leroy Sané, Deniz Undav.
Paraguay: Roberto Fernández, Orlando Gill, Gastón Olveira, Gustavo Velázquez, Omar Alderete, Juan José Cáceres, Fabián Balbuena, Júnior Alonso, José Canale, Gustavo Gómez, Alexandro Maidana, Diego Gómez, Mauricio, Andrés Cubas, Damián Bobadilla, Alejandro Romero, Julio Enciso, Braian Ojeda, Matías Galarza, Ramón Sosa, Antonio Sanabria, Miguel Almirón, Álex Arce, Gabriel Ávalos, Gustavo Caballero, Isidro Pitta.
Germany vs Paraguay Predicted Lineups
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Germany vs Paraguay Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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