Russia’s attack on Ukraine and capture of Crimea in 2014 showed the perils of a security vacuum. Afterwards, Ukraine relied on Russian goodwill and an assortment of bilateral and multilateral agreements from allies that offered little deterrence against future aggression. Moscow maintained its tradition that only deals backed by hard power or serving its interest are worth respecting – and duly escalated to a full-scale invasion in 2022.
Before considering the substance of a realistic security framework it is helpful to clarify some terminology. Though Ukraine and its partners use the word “guarantees” to describe their future security relations, they are actually discussing commitments.
Ukraine will continue to press for eventual Nato membership, even though the alliance shows no readiness to grant Kyiv admission and risk war with nuclear-armed Russia. But the promise of an open door policy to Nato has value even if it will not realistically be implemented in the short term.
With the option of Nato membership preserved but distant, European partners should embrace the porcupine model.
A Tomahawk submarine-launched cruise missile on a test site (Photo: Corbis/Getty)
Ukraine as a true porcupine should be able to exercise deterrence by denial. That means it should have the ability to defeat groups of Russian forces in border battles, which in turn requires capabilities for modern close and deep battles with deep strike capabilities.
The second part is even more critical. Ukraine must possess capabilities to deny Russia rear sanctuary, where it conducts business activity for revenue and generates combat power to direct against Ukraine. Within his Victory Plan unveiled last autumn, President Volodymyr Zelensky reportedly asked for Tomahawk land attack cruise missiles with a 2,500km (1,553mile) range that can threaten all of European Russia.
A commitment to turn Ukraine into a true porcupine must be credible in both the Ukrainian population’s eyes and in Vladimir Putin’s perception. For Ukrainians to accept any settlement they must know that the chances of another round of Russian land grabs are minimised through an efficient security framework that was missing in 2014 and in 2022. Simultaneously, the Kremlin would finally receive a signal that any new attempt to defeat Ukraine would cost Russia both blood and treasure.
square WORLD Main government building in Kyiv set alight by Russian drones
Read More
We should learn from the security deals signed last year between Ukraine and Western countries that offered some assurances over cash flow and weaponry but proved too vague to persuade Russia to cease its aggression.
The ultimate success of such a scheme cannot be fully guaranteed given Putin’s irrationality. But Europe and Ukraine have no other choice to break the cycle of Russian aggression. Ukraine, which has managed to incur staggering losses on Russia during the war in a vital service to European security, deserves a chance to final build a secure future for itself.
Hence then, the article about what ukraine really needs from europe is missiles that can hit moscow was published today ( ) and is available on inews ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( What Ukraine really needs from Europe is missiles that can hit Moscow )
Also on site :