The parade capped off a few days that could reshape international relations. Over the weekend, China hosted a summit of more than 20 leaders from non-Western countries, which largely made news because Xi was photographed laughing and clasping hands with Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The unmistakable message was that their countries were becoming closer—and together would provide an alternative to U.S. global leadership.
Ever since Trump first emerged as a political force a decade ago, a debate has raged over his foreign policy goals. Many of his backers—and even some of his detractors—have insisted that he’s a dove, a genuine departure from the bipartisan establishment that backed using America’s military might for imperialist aims. Trump himself has embraced this mantle, particularly during his 2024 campaign, when he insisted that he alone could swiftly end the wars that had been raging for years in Ukraine and Gaza; in office, he has ended neither but has nevertheless insisted he is deserving of the Nobel Peace Prize, citing a laundry list of half-baked (or nonexistent) accomplishments.
The debate over whether Trump is a “hawk” or “dove” largely misses the point, however. That’s not how Trump sees himself or his role in the world. Trump approaches foreign relations, whether they be over armed conflicts or trade, by maximizing chaos and instability—and then hoping he can somehow claim victory by producing an agreement that ramps down tensions.
Trump thinks that this approach makes him a negotiator with an unparalleled ability to produce deals—hence his repeated promise that he could end the war in Ukraine on “day one.” This helps explain his recent, bizarre obsession with winning the Nobel Peace Prize: He sees it as an award for being the best dealmaker in the world. And we all know how much our insecure president likes to win awards (so much so that he invents them for himself).
And I haven’t even mentioned Venezuela yet. In early August, Trump’s secretary of state, Marco Rubio, announced a $50 million bounty on the head of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and the U.S. has since deployed seven warships to the waters off Venezuela. Then, on Tuesday, Trump announced an airstrike on a boat in international waters that he said was piloted by Tren de Aragua “terrorists” smuggling drugs to the U.S. Eleven people were killed. On Wednesday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth promised that it was just the beginning of a larger assault on a nation that he deemed a “narco-state.” “President Trump is willing to go on offense in ways that others have not seen,” Hegseth said. As for regime change, “That’s a presidential decision, and we’re prepared with every asset that the American military has.”
By antagonizing friends and foes alike, Trump has isolated the U.S. globally, creating the ideal conditions for Russia, China, and India to join hands in what could be a globally destabilizing alliance. That’s the irony of his quest for a Nobel Peace Prize: The man who wants to rename the Department of Defense the Department of War has rapidly made the world a much more dangerous place. There’s no prize for that, but it’s clear who will reap the rewards.
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