Ethereum Futures Technical Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (August 12, 2025)
Bullish above: 4,303 Bearish below: 4,260 Current price (analysis time): 4,290 Primary Bias: Slightly bullish while above 4,260 Partial targets (bullish): 4,319 · 4,339 · 4,349 · 4,383 · 4,465 Partial targets (bearish): 4,241 · 4,213.5 · 4,160 · 4,110
ETH futures sit right on top of yesterday’s VWAP and today’s Value Area Low (VAL) around 4,290—exactly where auctions often reset and decide the next push. We remain inside a 4,200–4,400 range, so expect push–pull behavior until one side wins. Bulls keep the upper hand while price holds above 4,260 (beneath yesterday’s VAL would hand control to sellers). A sustained break above 4,303 (today’s VWAP) would reassert bullish momentum toward the overhead magnets listed below.
News drivers in the last 24 hours (why this matters to ETH today)
DeFi signal: Ethena’s TVL crossed $11.9B, highlighting renewed appetite for ETH-based yield and non‑staking models, another supportive current for the network’s demand side.
Positioning risk to monitor: With ~97% of ETH addresses in profit, profit‑taking risk rises near resistance; that fits our tighter targets and “defense first” approach inside the 4,200–4,400 range.
Bullish plan (only valid above 4,303):
4,339 – Today’s VAH minus one; a typical “first fade/trim” area in ranges.
4,383 – Below the 4,400 round‑number liquidity; scale more here into strength.
Bearish plan (only valid below 4,260):
4,213.5 – Around yesterday’s VWAP −3σ; deeper excursion within range.
4,110 – Just above Aug 8 VAH; if tagged, expect strong two‑way flow.
Education: Bitcoin Dominance & ETH’s recent outperformance
Recently, ETH has notably outpaced BTC on multiple timeframes—~102% vs ~22% over ~90 days per a detailed performance breakdown, and ~54% vs ~10% over the past month, underscoring strong relative momentum into Ethereum‑centric narratives (ETFs, lower fees, DeFi engagement). That’s a remarkable shift in leadership during what many still view as a BTC‑led cycle.
VWAP marks the market’s volume‑weighted “fair price” for the session. When price is above today’s VWAP, participants are paying a premium versus the day’s average; below VWAP is a discount. Standard‑deviation bands around VWAP expand in trends and contract in ranges, acting as dynamic magnets and guardrails. In a range‑day, price often oscillates between VAL–POC–VAH and VWAP ±1–2σ, so tight partials at these nodes aren’t timid—they’re smart extraction points where flow typically stalls or flips. That’s why our 4,319/4,339/4,349/4,383 levels cluster: they’re probable reaction points, not wishful targets.
One trade per direction. Avoid churn. If your long plan plays out, you’re done with longs until a fresh setup emerges.
Stop movement (important today): As soon as the second target is hit, move your stop to at least break‑even (or better). Inside a range, mean‑reversion snaps are common; protecting gains takes priority over squeezing the last 10 points.
Never park your stop beyond the opposite threshold. Crossing that boundary invalidates your premise.
If price can’t hold above 4,303, fading bounces toward VWAP with tight risk can make sense until acceptance returns.
If price accepts above 4,303, look for a guided walk: 4,319 → 4,339 → 4,349 → 4,383, and only then think about a runner toward 4,465 if momentum and order flow agree (our OrderFlow Intel helps time that).
Disclaimer: This is decision‑support, not financial advice. Crypto and futures are risky; manage size and follow your stops. tradeCompass helps you frame the day with objective levels, as you control execution. Visit investingLive.com for additional views.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.Hence then, the article about ethereum analysis and price prediction today with tradecompass at investinglive com was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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