BofA FMS: Trade war remains biggest tail risk (29%) followed by inflation (27%) ...Middle East

Global investor sentiment most bullish since February 2025.Probability of hard landing lowest since January 2025, equity allocations rising, but not at extreme levels.Net 78% expect short term rates to be lower in 12 months' time.Long Mag 7 most crowded trade say 45% of respondents, last time they said this was in March.20% say Waller most likely to be next Fed chairman, 19% say Hassett, 15% Warsh.

Overall, the market is trading like there's very little risk ahead. Stocks are near all-time highs, credit spreads are tight and rate cuts are coming. There's little room for error here.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

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