Bankers report that funding pressures have diminished, credit quality is good
Firms remain cautious on capital spending and hiring
Companies are not yet resorting to layoffs to reduce costs
The Fed is now missing on its inflation target but not missing on its employment mandate; labor market around full employment
Likely that most of the impact of tariffs on inflation will fade
Labor market is in balance, but economic activity has been weaker and that poses risks to jobs
Fed voter Musalem’s comments present a cautiously balanced view, with a lean toward hawkishness as he sees the Fed missing on inflation and not on employment target. He favors keeping policy where it is.
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