The triad is a way of referring to the three elements of the USA’s nuclear deterrence system. It has missiles launched from aircraft, intercontinental ballistic missiles, and missiles that can be launched from submarines.
The trouble for Trump back in 2015 was that he didn’t seem to know any of this, despite the fact that he was running to be the US President. Instead, on stage, he stumbled over his answer, suggesting only that “nuclear is just the power, the devastation is very important to me”, until another candidate, Marco Rubio, explained how it all worked.
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That’s an accusation that John Bolton, who served as Trump’s national security advisor, is making publicly, at least. In recent days, Trump ordered two US nuclear submarines to be redeployed towards Russia, following threats made on social media by former Russian president and prime minister Dmitry Medvedev.
Because the submarines are the weapons of last resort, the idea is that these submarines are always at sea, and there is never any indication of where they are – anything that suggests where they might be is potentially damaging to national security.
Others are alarmed that Trump has ordered nuclear weapons moved just on the basis of something someone posted on X, even if the person doing so is a senior Russian politician. Medvedev is notorious within Russia for making elaborate and dramatic threats against Russia’s enemies, setting the tone for state-controlled media to do the same. He has made threats involving Russia’s nukes on numerous occasions since Russia invaded Ukraine, and is generally ignored when he does so – he is just telling the country’s ultra-nationalists what they want to hear, rather than making a serious statement of policy.
Trump, appearing not to know the basics of America’s nuclear arsenal five years into the job of the US President, is more worrying. The US President’s redeployment of strategic nuclear assets on the basis of Russian social media posts is outright alarming. No one would want to live in a world where Russia redeployed nuclear weapons based on the tweets of Liz Truss, after all.
We have survived for decades in a world where the US and Russia alone have enough nuclear firepower to end civilisation in a matter of hours. Our continued survival relies on their careful diplomacy and avoidance of misunderstandings. A temperamental president who doesn’t even understand the basics, then, is truly the stuff of nightmares.
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