Both beaten in their opening 2026 FIFA World Cup fixture, Group D’s bottom two face a crucial clash in San Francisco. We look ahead to Friday’s game with our Türkiye vs Paraguay prediction and preview.
Türkiye vs Paraguay: The Key Insights
Though they failed to produce on Matchday 1, Türkiye have a 49.4% chance of winning their second group game against Paraguay, according to the Opta Supercomputer. With just a 23.7% chance of victory, Paraguay aren’t expected to end their four-match winless streak at the World Cup. Türkiye took 30 shots in their opener, the most by any team without scoring in a World Cup match since 2006 (Portugal vs England, 31) and most without extra-time since Uruguay vs Sweden in 1974 (30).Already facing the prospect of early elimination, neither Türkiye nor Paraguay can afford to falter when they meet in San Francisco on Friday.
While the Paraguayans were thumped 4-1 by the United States, Türkiye surprisingly lost 2-0 to Australia, failing to score for just the second time in 11 World Cup matches.
It wasn’t for want of trying. Vincenzo Montella’s side made 71 midfield line-breaking passes, the most of any team at a World Cup since 2010; they also racked up 30 shots, including eight from Real Madrid’s Miguel Almirón and Ferdi Kadioglu made the most final-third passes (59) and created five chances against Australia. Across Euro 2024 and this World Cup so far, he’s created 17 – seven more than any other Turkish player.
Türkiye vs Paraguay Head-to-Head
Türkiye – featuring at their first global finals for 24 years – and Paraguay (16 years) will meet at a World Cup for the very first time.
The nations’ only previous encounter was a goalless friendly in Chile, played in June 1995.
Türkiye vs Paraguay Prediction
The Opta supercomputer produced 25,000 pre-match simulations, and Türkiye came out as winners in 49.4% of the simulations.
Paraguay only prevailed in 23.7%, with a draw rated at 26.9% – given the circumstances, the latter result would suit neither side.
Türkiye vs Paraguay Squads
Türkiye: Mert Günok, Altay Bayindir, Ugurcan Çakir, Zeki Çelik, Merih Demiral, Çaglar Söyüncü, Eren Elmali, Abdülkerim Bardakci, Ozan Kabak, Mert Müldür, Ferdi Kadioglu, Kaan Ayhan, Samet Akaydin, Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü, Arda Güler, Hakan Çalhanoglu, Ismail Yüksek, Irfan Can Kahveci, Can Uzun, Kerem Aktürkoglu, Deniz Gül, Kenan Yildiz, Yunus Akgün, Baris Alper Yilmaz, Oguz Aydin.
Paraguay: Roberto Fernández, Orlando Gill, Gastón Olveira, Gustavo Velázquez, Omar Alderete, Juan José Cáceres, Fabián Balbuena, Júnior Alonso, José Canale, Gustavo Gómez, Alexandro Maidana, Diego Gómez, Mauricio, Andrés Cubas, Damián Bobadilla, Alejandro Romero, Julio Enciso, Braian Ojeda, Matías Galarza, Ramón Sosa, Antonio Sanabria, Miguel Almirón, Álex Arce, Gabriel Ávalos, Gustavo Caballero, Isidro Pitta.
Türkiye vs Paraguay Predicted Lineups
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Türkiye vs Paraguay Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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