Kemi Badenoch said in January that she would not change her top team before the general election, but that always seemed like an untenable pledge. Labour is trying to make capital out of this apparent change of mind – which requires ministers to have considerable chutzpah, bearing in mind, for example, the recent retreat on welfare reform – but she has cover in the person of Edward Argar, who is standing down as shadow health and social care secretary because of his health.
She is one of the cabinet’s better communicators, though it is hardly a strong field, and the two will scrap over some critical policy areas: house-building, infrastructure and planning, regional and local economic growth and the broad issue of “communities”, encompassing identity, integration, the democratic process and faith groups.
Neil O’Brien joins the shadow cabinet as “shadow minister for policy renewal and development”. He has clearly been chosen as Badenoch’s wonk-in-chief, following a path trodden by Oliver Letwin, David Willetts, Andrew Lansley, Peter Lilley and Sir Keith Joseph, and in some ways his role is the most important of all.
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Some of the moves may have less impact. With Argar standing down, Stuart Andrew becomes shadow health secretary, an amiable but relatively anonymous man who cycled through eight jobs in the last six years of the previous government. He would have to show previously unsuspected star quality to make much impact against Wes Streeting.
Alan Mak, leaves the shadow cabinet; Julia Lopez takes his place as shadow science, innovation and technology secretary; Richard Holden, still recovering from a bruising stint as party chairman, is shadow transport secretary; John Glen becomes Badenoch’s parliamentary private secretary. Few outside Westminster will notice.
On its own, this reshuffle will not dramatically affect the Conservative Party’s fortunes. Few votes will be swung by Huddleston rather than Andrew overseeing policy on culture and the media, for example. Make no mistake: Badenoch knows this perfectly well. If there is a path to recovery, it is long, slow and arduous.
Most of today’s moves are to ensure that there is someone at every post, and little more. A shadow cabinet reshuffle a year into a parliament after a catastrophic defeat can never be a universal remedy. Cleverly, Hollinrake and O’Brien have substantial work to do, but for the rest, it is most immediately a matter of hanging on and trying to survive.
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