US dollar strength not driven by repricing in interest rates expectations ...Middle East

Rate cuts by year-end

Fed: 50 bps (85% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 19 bps (94% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 47 bps (58% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 28 bps (71% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 73 bps (80% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 28 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 8 bps (75% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

BoJ: 14 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

We can see that there hasn't been much of a change compared to the latest update here. On the contrary, the market got a little bit more dovish, but the changes are negligible.

For traders, being aware of expectations and positioning is key to manage risk and find opportunities.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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