Rate cuts by year-end
Fed: 51 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 25 bps (90% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 58 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 29 bps (72% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 74 bps (60% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 27 bps (85% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 52 bps (69% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)Rate hikes by year-end
BoJ: 16 bps (100% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)The most notable repricing was seen in the GBP OIS market. Traders ramped up rate cuts expectations from 40 bps to 58 bps at the time of writing following the weak UK labour market report and the UK GDP data. That would be in line with the BoE's plan to cut by 25 bps every quarter.
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