BOJ now expected to keep interest rates unchanged through to year-end - survey ...Middle East

No one expects BOJ to raise rates at policy meeting next week30 of 58 economists (52%) expect rates to stay unchanged through year-end (previously 48%)40 of 51 economists (78%) expect at least one rate hike by March 202617 of 31 economists (55%) see BOJ slowing down bond buying from April 2026 onwardsThe quarterly taper size estimate ranged from ¥200 billion to ¥370 billion (curretly ¥400 billion)21 of 28 economists (75%) expect government to trim issuance of super-long bonds

The main concern for the postponement in the rate hike timing is largely due to uncertainty over US tariffs policy. That is threatening the economic outlook with concerns also on Japan's public finances. The market pricing is only showing ~15 bps of rate hikes by December this year, so it fits somewhat with the outlook from analysts above.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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