The BOJ has been cutting bond purchases by ¥400 billion per quarter since last August, but many analysts now expect the pace to slow starting next April—potentially to ¥200–¥300 billion reductions per quarter. Economists warn that too cautious a move could undermine confidence in the bond market's ability to absorb supply.
The survey also revealed shifting expectations for the BOJ’s next rate hike: January 2026 is now seen as the most likely timing, overtaking earlier bets on July or October. Goldman Sachs noted that the decision could hinge on global conditions, including U.S. tariff policy and automotive trade. Meanwhile, opinions remain divided on whether a U.S.-Japan trade agreement will be reached by the upcoming G7 summit.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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