Crude oil futures settles at $69.00 ...Middle East

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The modest pullback followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia covering the Black Sea. However, broader supply concerns remain intact, particularly after former President Donald Trump threatened to impose 25% tariffs on U.S. imports from countries purchasing Venezuelan oil — a move aimed at major buyers like China, India, and Spain. Venezuela remains a significant U.S. supplier, accounting for 226,000 barrels per day last week.

Looking ahead, further upside requires not only a sustained move above the 200-bar MA but also a break above the 38.2% retracement of the decline from the January 2025 high — which stands at $71.13. From a technical standpoint, clearing that level is the minimum threshold needed to shift the bias more convincingly in favor of the bulls.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

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