Much has happened in the seven months since the Prime Minister took office, with the return of an unpredictable US ally, the surging popularity on home soil of Reform, and what it all means for Britain’s status around the world creating extra tests as the Government fights to stave off increasing economic uncertainty.
As Reform UK’s popularity among voters continues to rise, the Prime Minister appears ready to go toe-to-toe with Farage when it comes to migration.
square REFORM UK Labour insiders urge Starmer to be tougher on migration to beat Reform
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That’s expected to happen on Monday, with the PM reportedly set to use the first vote on Labour’s border bill to make his case.
According to the latest figures, 16,400 were deported in Labour’s first six months in power, while the number of migrants in 2024 crossing the English Channel in small boats was up by a quarter on the previous year.
However, the total is down 20 per cent on the record 45,774 arrivals in 2022.
Chagos deal dilemma
Starmer has already faced scrutiny from the likes of Farage and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch over whether it is in the UK’s best interest to push through the much-discussed deal, through which sovereignty of the archipelago would be returned to Mauritius.
This causes an additional complication for Starmer, where the position of Trump could clash with the guidance laid out by his Attorney general. Bloomberg reported, this could leave Hermer in an untenable position in the eyes of Labour officials, adding to the list of problems for the Prime Minister.
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The US President has already imposed tariffs on China – who have since announced counter-tariffs over their own – after pausing levies aimed at Canada and Mexico at the last minute.
Starmer will hope that is the case, with both sides previously voicing an interest in striking a longer-term deal.
Even then, there’s a chance the President’s continued imposing of tariffs with the bloc and other countries around the world could have a knock-on effect on British consumers, while the PM faces heightening pressure to pick a side in the looming trade war.
Projections from the Bank included the UK’s economic growth forecast for the year halving, from 1.5 to 0.75 per cent, and inflation spiking as high as 3.7 per cent.
square WELFARE Labour may have to revive Tory plan to slash benefits by £400 a month
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The Chancellor has a few options to try and turn things around growth-wise, including reversing her Budget tax rises and boosting trade, but she will likely be forced to make some more tough choices.
Meanwhile, polling carried out exclusively for The i Paper last week revealed the Conservatives are more trusted among voters than Labour to handle the economy, after a slump in the UK’s performance since the Government took power.
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