BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 4.75%, as expected ...Middle East

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Prior 4.75%Bank rate vote 6-3 vs 8-1 expected (Dhingra, Ramsden, Taylor voted to cut bank rate by 25 bps)A gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint remains appropriateWe can't commit to when or by how much we will cut rates in 2025 as economic uncertainty is highServices consumer price inflation has remained elevatedRemaining domestic inflationary pressures are resolving more slowlyMost indicators of UK near-term activity have declinedLabour market is broadly in balanceBut there remains significant uncertainty around its developments, especially wage indicatorsMonetary policy will need to continue to remain restrictive for sufficiently long until the risks to inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target in the medium term have dissipated furtherFull statement

"The Committee continues to monitor closely the risks of inflation persistence and will assess the extent to which the evolving evidence is consistent with more constrained supply, which could sustain inflationary pressures, or with weaker demand, which could lead to the emergence of spare capacity in the economy and push down inflation."

In other words, they're acknowledging that there are two-way risks to inflation and that could see them also looking to pause on cutting rates during some meetings in 2025. For now, they will have to approach things on a meeting-by-meeting basis still.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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