The No. 1 ranking remains up for grabs at this year’s WTA Finals, but only just, with Iga Swiatek trailing Aryna Sabalenka by 1,046 points. It seems fitting in a year of returns, breakthroughs and overall competitiveness on the women’s tour in 2024. Coming into this week, 65.8% (1,142/1,736) of matches on the WTA Tour were won by the pre-match favourite, according to Opta’s Win Probability Model. That’s a 3.6% drop on the same win rate in 2023. From the 38 finals with a pre-match favourite, 26 went on to eventually claim tournament victory, including seven of the 10 WTA-1000 this year. Two of three winners from the remaining WTA-1000 events ended up qualifying for the year-end
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