China and the Philippines are sending vessels to Sabina Shoal to secure their competing territorial claims to the feature. Manila withdrew the Teresa Magbanua, a coast guard vessel that had left that strategic spot in the South China Sea, on Sept. 14. China will undoubtedly block the Philippine attempt to reoccupy the shoal. The probability of an incident — and war — is high. The U.S., a party to a 1951 mutual defense treaty with Manila, is bound to be involved in any conflict. The 318-foot Teresa Magbanua had been anchored at Sabina for more than 150 days to, among other things, protect the Philippines’ territorial claims. Both China (which calls it Xianbin Jiao Lagoon) an
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