The most important number coming out of the Iowa caucuses is 49. That’s the percentage of Republicans who backed a candidate other than Donald Trump. All the headlines are trumpeting Trump’s “historic” triumph, and his stranglehold on the Republican base is unquestioned. But turn those results around and view them from another angle, and they reveal Trump’s potential weaknesses. If a single rival had attracted 49%, compared to Trump’s 51 percent, the headlines would be very different, describing a tight race that Trump had barely won. As he did in 2016, however, Trump is benefitting from a splintered field of opponents. Eight years ago, it was Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz splitting the
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