The state of the 2024 election on the day before Iowa ...Middle East

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296 — that’s how many days there are until the 2024 election. But even though that’s a long way off, I can already tell you a few things that will happen. The race for control of the House of Representatives will be close; Decision Desk HQ’s generic ballot polling average shows a R+1.5 point lead at the time of writing. In the Senate, Republicans only need to flip two seats to take the majority (or one seat, if they win the White House), and Democrats are playing defense in 23 out of 34 seats — including Montana, Ohio and West Virginia, three states that Trump won comfortably twice — so it’s likely that Mitch McConnell will be back as majority leader in 2025. At the presidential lev

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