Is the Championship Table Lying to Us? ...Middle East

We look at the Championship table based on expected points, rather than those won in real life – you know, the ones that actually count. Well, the true answer is quite obviously no. Points are won and lost whether the teams deserve the eventual outcome in matches or not. But this is where our Opta expected points model can help tell the real story of those matches. What could the Championship table look like so far in 2023-24 had games ended as the underlying data suggests they should have? Our expected points model simulates the number of goals scored by each side in each match based on the expected goals (xG) value of every shot taken. It then uses the simulated number of goals

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