Forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association believe the new El Niño water temperature phenomenon has a greater than 90 percent chance of lasting through the winter into 2024. El Niño conditions mean that ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific are higher than normal, which can cause a less severe winter for much of the northern U.S. and more rain for the south as the jet stream is forced north. Eastern Pacific waters more than 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal are considered El Niño conditions. Temperatures are 0.8 degrees above average as of June and are anticipated to rise to as much as 1.5 degrees above average in the last few months of the year, when El Niño
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