As Americans wait on the next round of vaccines and experts ponder when to expect another COVID-19 surge, how many hospital beds do we need in Oahu, East Alabama or Everett, Mass.? In early 2022 – as omicron took hold two years into the pandemic – the answer was far more than regulators thought. Hospitals again ran out of space to treat patients. That’s tragic. Even before a hospital runs out of beds, patients suffer. Caregivers in capacity-constrained facilities might keep them in waiting rooms longer, more aggressively triage them or discharge them earlier than they would otherwise. The problem isn’t just one particular surge, nor stubborn vaccine reluctance. In much of the country,
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