The Giants are 1.5 to 2.5-point favorites over the Commanders on Thursday night, and rain has pushed the total down to 40.5 at DraftKings.
These two played 70 minutes in October and nobody won. It ended 27-27, Jayden Daniels ran for 103 yards, and Washington somehow walked away feeling worse about it. Five weeks later, New York is 5-2-1 and in first place in the NFC East, Washington is 2-5-1, and the forecast for East Rutherford is ugly. Kickoff is 7:15 p.m. Central, 8:15 p.m. Eastern, on Prime Video from MetLife Stadium.
How Have the Commanders vs Giants Odds Moved This Week?
The Commanders vs Giants odds have moved toward New York and toward the under since Sunday night. DraftKings reopened the Giants at -1.5 with a total of 42.5 and now shows -2.5 and 40.5. Most of that two-point drop in the total is the weather, and some of it is Washington’s offensive line.
Go back a little further and the slide is bigger. The lookahead total was 44.5 at DraftKings and 45.5 at FanDuel before Week 9. Then New York won 19-11 in Philadelphia, Washington scored 13 against the Rams, and the number reopened two points lower before the forecast was a factor at all.
The forecast is a factor now. The National Weather Service is calling for a 90% chance of rain Thursday night, with a north wind of 11 to 14 mph and gusts as high as 24. I’ll get to what I’m doing with that below, but it’s the reason this number keeps falling.
Who Is Favored in Commanders vs Giants?
New York is favored at every book, but the price depends on where you shop. John Harbaugh’s team is -1.5 at FanDuel, -2 at Circa, Pinnacle, and BookMaker, and -2.5 at DraftKings. A full point of difference on a short spread is a lot, so this is a night to check two apps before betting.
Odds as of Thursday morning:
Spread: New York -1.5 (-120) at FanDuel and -2.5 (-105) at DraftKings, which puts Washington +2.5 at about -115. Total: 40.5 at DraftKings, 41 at Circa, Pinnacle, and BookMaker, and 41.5 at FanDuel. Moneyline: New York -142 and Washington +120 at DraftKings. The home team is -134 at FanDuel.If you like Washington, DraftKings is giving you the extra point. If you like New York, FanDuel is charging you 10 cents to get under 2. That’s why having more than one book matters, and our list of the best sports betting sites is a good place to find a second one.
My Pick: Giants -1.5
I’m laying the 1.5 with New York at FanDuel, even at -120. Washington is starting a backup center on a short week against a pass rush that just sacked Philadelphia seven times, and the Commanders’ own defense has lost both starting tackles for the season. I think the gap between these teams is bigger than a point and a half.
Start with the middle of Washington’s line. Lucas Patrick is out with a concussion, so Nick Allegretti starts at center. Four days ago, Myles Garrett had three sacks against this group in a 20-13 Rams win. Now it gets rookie linebacker Arvell Reese, who had three sacks of his own last week.
Then flip it around. Daron Payne and Javon Kinlaw are both on injured reserve, and Cam Skattebo is back for the home side after missing the Eagles game with a hamstring injury. He ran for 124 yards the last time he played. In the rain, I want the team that can run the ball and rush the passer.
Could Washington win this game? Sure. The Commanders outgained New York 6.3 yards per play to 4.9 in October, and Daniels has no interceptions all season. But both of Washington’s wins came against Seattle and Philadelphia, and New York is 6-2 against the spread. I don’t want to pay -142 on the moneyline when -1.5 costs less.
Sep 13, 2026; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (6) hands the ball off to running back Cam Skattebo (44) during the first quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn ImagesIs the Under Still Worth Betting at 41.5?
Yes, I’d still bet under 41.5 at FanDuel, and I’d pass at 40.5. Rain and a steady wind above 12 mph both push scoring down, and New York just won a game in which J.J. McCarthy threw for only 127 yards. The best of the number is gone, but 41.5 is still a fair price for this forecast.
Here’s what makes me a little nervous. The first meeting had 54 points. Before last week, Harbaugh’s team had played three straight games that landed on 48 or more, including a 36-24 win over Arizona. This hasn’t been a slow team all year.
It was last week, though. McCarthy went 12 of 19, left for a stretch with a hip injury, and Jameis Winston threw the only touchdown. On a wet field with a quarterback who just got hurt, I don’t expect the play calling to open things up. Expect to pay a little extra for the under at FanDuel, since the over there is even money.
Can Jayden Daniels Run on New York Again?
Jayden Daniels can run on this defense, and his legs are the biggest threat to a ticket on the favorite. He carried nine times for 103 yards and two touchdowns in the October tie. His rushing prop is 35.5 yards at DraftKings and 34.5 at FanDuel, and I’d take the over at the lower number.
Daniels has run for 44, 35, 68, and 103 yards in four career games against New York. That defense has also given up the third-most rushing yards to quarterbacks in the league this season. With a backup center and a wet ball, a few of those dropbacks are going to turn into scrambles whether Washington calls them or not.
It fits with the under, too. A quarterback running for first downs keeps the clock moving. If you want one prop to go with your side tonight, this is it.
Oct 11, 2026; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) passes the ball against the New York Giants at Northwest Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn ImagesWho Is Out for Commanders vs Giants?
Washington has ruled out center Lucas Patrick and tight end Colson Yankoff, and the home team lists only linebacker Malik Harrison as questionable. New York is about as healthy as it has been all season. Washington’s bigger problems are the players who were already gone.
For Washington:
C Lucas Patrick (concussion) is out. Nick Allegretti starts. TE Colson Yankoff (knee) is out. He’s a backup. WR Treylon Burks (foot) has no designation and is expected to play after missing practice Wednesday. WR Terry McLaurin, WR Dyami Brown, DT Daron Payne, and DT Javon Kinlaw are all on injured reserve.For New York:
LB Malik Harrison (groin) is questionable. QB J.J. McCarthy practiced in full all week after the hip injury and starts. RB Cam Skattebo, WR Malik Nabers, and OLB Abdul Carter have no designation.Inactives come out about 90 minutes before kickoff. Burks is the name to check. For the rest of the weekend, here’s my look at the full NFL Week 10 odds board, and our NFL picks page covers every game.
Commanders vs Giants FAQ
Who is favored in the Commanders vs Giants game?
New York is favored by 1.5 points at FanDuel and 2.5 at DraftKings for Thursday Night Football. The home team is -134 to -142 on the moneyline at those two books, and Washington pays +120 at DraftKings to win outright at MetLife Stadium.
What is the over/under for Commanders vs Giants?
The Commanders vs Giants total is 40.5 at DraftKings and 41.5 at FanDuel as of Thursday morning, with 41 at several other books. DraftKings reopened it at 42.5 on Sunday. Rain and wind in the East Rutherford forecast have pulled it down since then.
What time and channel is Commanders vs Giants?
Commanders vs Giants kicks off at 7:15 p.m. Central, 8:15 p.m. Eastern, on Thursday, November 12. The game streams on Prime Video and is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. It’s the first game of Week 10.
Is Cam Skattebo playing tonight?
Cam Skattebo is expected to play for the Giants on Thursday night. The running back missed last week’s win in Philadelphia with a hamstring injury, but he practiced in full this week and carries no injury designation into the Washington game.
What happened the last time the Commanders and Giants played?
Washington and New York tied 27-27 in overtime on October 11. Jayden Daniels ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns for the Commanders, and Malik Nabers caught 11 passes for 121 yards on 20 targets for the Giants in that first meeting.
Responsible Gambling
A Thursday game is the only one on the board, and that makes it tempting to bet more than you normally would. Don’t. Pick an amount you’re comfortable losing before kickoff and stay there, no matter how the first quarter goes.
Bad weather makes games harder to predict, which is a good reason to keep your bets small tonight. A side, a total, and a prop from the same game can all lose together, so count them as one risk when you add up what you have on it.
Betting should be something you do for fun with money you can afford to spend. Every legal sportsbook has deposit limits, loss limits, and time-out tools. Use them, and step away if it stops being enjoyable.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
Hence then, the article about commanders vs giants odds spread pick and more for thursday was published today ( ) and is available on Bleacher Nation ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Commanders vs Giants Odds: Spread, Pick, and More for Thursday )
Also on site :
- Family of Arizona State champion triathlete mowed down by drugged-up driver blasts killer’s 10-year prison sentence
- How Bad is Caleb’s Injury? Turnover Disaster, the Pete Myers Era, and Other Bulls Bullets
- Latest transfer news today: Arsenal join £100m midfield tussle as Liverpool learn major left-back update