Phillies outfielder Brandon Marsh underwent surgery on his left hand, just above the wrist, reports Matt Gelb of The Athletic. The procedure took place just after the season ended. There was no public information about a hand injury for Marsh during the season but Gelb says he played through it for months. It’s unclear if team personnel knew about the issue. Gelb adds that Marsh is available in trade talks this offseason as the Phillies are telling other clubs they aren’t locked into anything in the outfield.
It’s possible that the injury explains Marsh’s uneven 2026 season, as he had a great first half and an awful second half. Marsh had a .301/.339/.490 batting line through the All-Star break. That was propped up a bit by a .377 batting average on balls in play but Marsh also hit 15 home runs. After the break, Marsh hit just .184/.243/.259. Part of that was his BABIP swinging the other way to .225 but he also only hit three home runs.
There is some data to suggest Marsh wasn’t impacting the ball as much as the season went on. He had a 50% hard hit rate in April and was in the mid-40s in May and June. He was at 40% in July and August and then was down to 31.7% in September. His average exit velocity had a similar slide, going from 91.4 miles per hour in April to 86.3 mph by the final month of the season. Marsh ended up with a .260/.304/.408 line and 90 wRC+ at season’s end. Over the prior three seasons, he hit .268/.347/.440 for a 115 wRC+, so this year’s production was clearly down on the whole.
If the surgery takes care of his hand issue, he could bounce back in 2027. But even at his best, he’s a limited player. He’s a left-handed hitter and has never fared well against southpaws, so he needs a platoon partner. On defense, he has been good at times but his grades haven’t been amazing lately. Defensive Runs Saved and Outs Above Average had him at league par in left field in 2026. Fielding Run Value gave him a mark of minus-4.
Marsh is going into his final season of club control before he is slated for free agency. MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projects him for a salary of $8.3MM next year. It’s a reasonable enough price for a player of Marsh’s caliber but the Phillies seem broadly open to change in the outfield. As Gelb notes, trading a player with just one year of club control might be tricky with the expected lockout over the horizon. If the 2027 season ends up being delayed or canceled, that limits the value of such a player.
With Marsh on the block, the Philadelphia outfield has basically nothing set in stone. Marsh was sharing time with Justin Crawford and Adolis García to begin the most reason season. García played poorly for 67 games and then required season-ending shoulder surgery. He is now a free agent. Bryce Harper ended up covering right field after a trade deadline shake-up but his defense was poor. He projects to return to first base next year.
Gelb reports that Crawford is still in the mix but not locked into center field, so perhaps he will end up in a corner. Crawford was never expected to be a power hitter but it was hoped that his speed could allow him to be useful in other facets of the game. That hasn’t worked out so far. His .264/.309/.353 batting line led to a wRC+ of 80. He also graded out poorly in the field, with negative numbers from each of DRS, OAA and FRV.
With that picture, it seems any numbers of developments are possible in the Philadelphia outfield. They have already been connected to notable free agents such as Teruaki Sato, Randy Arozarena and Seiya Suzuki, though it’s unclear how much desire they have to spend on those guys. Suzuki and Arozarena are going to be 32 years old in the upcoming campaign and would require hefty multi-year deals. The Phillies already have a lot of those kinds of deals on the books. Those two players also received qualifying offers and would require the Phillies to surrender draft picks and international bonus pool space. Sato is younger and not tied to a QO but he’s unproven against major league pitching.
There are other options in free agency, including Ian Happ, Daulton Varsho, Trent Grisham and others. The trade market could feature Jarren Duran, Steven Kwan, Trevor Larnach, Jake McCarthy and others. The Phils have seemingly put Marsh out there as they try to shake things up but completing a trade would also increase their need to add external options, so it’s also possible he stays. Derek Hill and Bryan De La Cruz are on the roster and are right-handed hitters, so they could be platoon partners for Marsh or the lefty-swinging Crawford.
Photo courtesy of Eric Hartline, Imagn Images
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