Qatar’s construction sector to grow 2.4% in 2027 says Fitch Solutions ...United Arab Emirates

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Qatar’s construction sector is projected to experience a growth of 2.4% in 2027, as per the latest report by Fitch Solutions. This positive outlook is attributed to the improving sentiment in the real estate market, which has provided significant support to the industry’s prospects.

The report reveals a remarkable shift in market sentiment in recent months. This shift gained momentum after Qatar’s Real Estate Price Index (REPI) witnessed a substantial increase of 5.7% year-to-date, reaching its highest point as of October 1, 2026.

Experts at Fitch Solutions said, “This has largely contributed to growing confidence that the long-standing issue of oversupply has been addressed through supportive legislation and dovish policy (implemented in 2025).”

“Households are increasingly purchasing more expensive houses, pushing up the median transaction value without implying any significant growth in underlying asset value,” it said, highlighting that the assessment is supported by National Planning Council household unit sales data, which points to a slight decline in property values. Meanwhile, ValuStrat’s independently produced housing valuation metric, which incorporates adjustments for property characteristics, indicates that valuations have remained broadly flat over the year.”

“The research entity acknowledged that the REPI has significant methodological limitations. It measures the average real estate sales price per unit sold without distinguishing between residential and commercial transactions.”

Analysts propose that the recent rise in the REPI might instead indicate a growing trend among households to purchase higher-value properties. This shift could be causing an increase in average transaction values without necessarily reflecting a meaningful appreciation in the broader housing market.

Nevertheless, the report mentions that structural challenges are likely to constrain a more widespread recovery. “High income and wealth disparity, as reflected in Qatar’s Gini coefficient of 46.2 (World Economics), will continue to weigh on the sector,” it said, adding that the market is unlikely to return to 2016 levels in the years ahead.

Beyond Qatar, Fitch Solutions also revised its outlook for the wider Middle East and North Africa (MENA) construction industry, forecasting a real contraction of 4.3% in construction gross value added (GVA) in 2026, followed by a recovery of 4% in 2027.

“The GCC faces a significantly different economic backdrop,” the report said. “Since the outbreak of the (Middle East) conflict, financing conditions have tightened as institutions adopt a ‘risk-off’ stance to prioritise liquidity management.” It further added, “We estimate that the residential sector, in terms of construction activity, may be especially sensitive to an increasing policy rate.”

Fitch Solutions highlighted that lower interest rates and robust performance in global equity markets are fueling momentum in the high-end residential market. This momentum is expected to benefit from improved financial conditions and increased wealth creation.

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