Nine weeks of the 2026 NFL season are officially down, and as we turn the page to Week 10, the race for NFL MVP has shifted into high gear. Joe Burrow has taken over as the new frontrunner ahead of Josh Allen, while the market continues to tighten with big moves from Brock Purdy, Jordan Love, Trevor Lawrence, and Caleb Williams. Here is the updated breakdown of the 2026-27 NFL MVP betting market heading into Week 10, along with a look at where things stand in the MVP / Super Bowl winner double market.
*David Brytus-Imagn Images2026-27 NFL MVP Odds
Joe Burrow is on a tear right now, and Vegas has taken notice. After throwing for 2,386 yards and 23 touchdowns against just 6 picks through nine weeks, also sporting a 74% completion rate, Burrow (+210) has officially bumped Josh Allen (+240) out of the top spot. He’s put up four straight multi-TD games, helping the Bengals tie Pittsburgh atop the division. Meanwhile, Brock Purdy (+425) is holding strong in third, with Jordan Love (+650), Trevor Lawrence (+900), and Caleb Williams (+1600) all having tremendous seasons, within striking distance. With eight weeks of football left, here’s where the MVP odds sit heading into Week 10:
NFL MVP ODDS AFTER WEEK 9 PLAYER & TEAM ODDS CIN Joe Burrow +210 BUF Josh Allen +240 SF Brock Purdy +425 GB Jordan Love +650 JAX Trevor Lawrence +900 CHI Caleb Williams +1600 KC Patrick Mahomes +3000 DET Jared Goff +4500 NE Drake Maye +4500 DET Jahmyr Gibbs +5500 KC Kenneth Walker III +6500 SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba +7500 HOU C.J. Stroud +8000 LAR Matthew Stafford +10000 WAS Jayden Daniels +10000 DAL Dak Prescott +10000 DEN Bo Nix +10000 CAR Bryce Young +12000 Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook | Current at writingNFL MVP & Super Bowl Winner Odds
If standard MVP futures aren’t quite cutting it, or you’re looking for a massive payout by backing your quarterback to go all the way, the MVP and Super Bowl “double” is the ultimate high-risk, high-reward market.
In over half a century of Super Bowl history, only seven players have ever claimed both trophies in a single season. It’s so rare that the league once went over two decades without anyone pulling it off, seeing nine straight MVPs reach the big game only to come up short. Balancing an MVP campaign with a championship run is easily one of the hardest feats in sports.
*Kirby Lee-Imagn ImagesStill, because the eventual MVP is almost always steering a top-tier playoff seed, these combo bets keep your action alive well into January. Here’s how the top double-market odds are looking as we roll into Week 10:
MVP + SUPER BOWL WINNER ODDS AFTER WEEK 9 TEAM & PLAYER ODDS Bills & Josh Allen +1400 49ers & Brock Purdy +1800 Bengals & Joe Burrow +2200 Jaguars & Trevor Lawrence +4000 Bears & Caleb Williams +5000 Chiefs & Patrick Mahomes +8000 Packers & Jordan Love +8000 Lions & Jared Goff +12000 Rams & Matthew Stafford +15000 Patriots & Drake Maye +15000 Lions & Jahmyr Gibbs +20000 Cowboys & Dak Prescott +20000 Broncos & Bo Nix +30000 Chiefs & Kenneth Walker III +40000 Saints & Tyler Shough +40000 Panthers & Bryce Young +40000 Falcons & Bijan Robinson +40000 Texans & C.J. Stroud +50000 Falcons & Michael Penix Jr. +50000 Seahawks & Jaxon Smith-Njigba +60000 Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook | Current at writingSmart Midseason Futures Strategy
Navigating futures odds at the halfway mark of an 18-week season requires discipline:
Protect Your Bankroll: Futures lock up capital for months. Avoid over-leveraging on short favorites, and use small unit sizes when targeting high-payout combo markets. Base Bets on Data, Not Buzz: Prime-time storylines and single-game overreactions frequently distort betting lines. Rely on efficiency metrics and upcoming schedule difficulty to spot true value. Play the Long Game: With nine weeks left in the regular season, market shifts are guaranteed. Stay patient and avoid knee-jerk decisions based on a single Sunday performance. Gamble Responsibly: Futures bets are meant to add excitement to the season. Only wager what you can afford to lose.New users must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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