Eight weeks of the 2026 NFL season are officially down, and as we turn the page to Week 9, the race for NFL MVP has shifted into high gear. Josh Allen is holding strong as the frontrunner, but the market has tightened with big moves from Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow, and the fresh face in the race, Caleb Williams. Here is the updated breakdown of the 2026-27 NFL MVP betting market heading into Week 9, along with a look at where things stand in the MVP / Super Bowl winner double market.
*David Brytus-Imagn Images2026-27 NFL MVP Odds
On the heels to an impressive start to the season which has seen him account for 20 touchdowns already, Josh Allen (+140) remains the betting favorite across the board. Meanwhile, coming out of their bye week, Brock Purdy (+430) has lost some ground to the top, while Joe Burrow (+500) and Caleb Williams (+600) have rapidly surged into the conversation. There is still a ton of football left to play, so with 10 weeks of action on tap, here is how the current NFL MVP Odds board looks entering Week 9:
NFL REGULAR SEASON MVP ODDS 2026/27 AWARDS PLAYER & TEAM ODDS BUF Josh Allen +165 SF Brock Purdy +450 CIN Joe Burrow +475 CHI Caleb Williams +500 JAX Trevor Lawrence +950 NE Drake Maye +1500 KC Patrick Mahomes +1700 GB Jordan Love +2500 DET Jared Goff +3000 SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba +6000 DET Jahmyr Gibbs +6000 LAR Matthew Stafford +7000 HOU C.J. Stroud +7500 KC Kenneth Walker III +10000 DAL Dak Prescott +10000 CAR Bryce Young +10000 ATL Bijan Robinson +10000 DEN Bo Nix +12000 WAS Jayden Daniels +15000 MIN Kyler Murray +18000 PIT Aaron Rodgers +18000 CLE Deshaun Watson +20000 HOU Will Anderson Jr. +20000 NO Tyler Shough +20000 Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook | Current at writingNFL MVP & Super Bowl Winner Odds
If standard MVP futures feel a little too vanilla, or you’re looking to double-down on your favorite, the MVP and Super Bowl “double” market is where things get really fun. The catch? Pulling off the feat is historically difficult. Only seven players in NFL history have ever won the regular-season MVP and lifted the Lombardi Trophy in the exact same year.
The list is legendary, and features Bart Starr (1966), Terry Bradshaw (1978), Joe Montana (1989), Emmitt Smith (1993), Steve Young (1994), Kurt Warner (1999), and Patrick Mahomes (2022). In fact, between Warner’s 1999 run and Mahomes breaking the curse in Super Bowl LVII, regular-season MVPs went an embarrassing 0-9 in the big game when they made it there.
*Joe Nicholson-Imagn ImagesThat said, because the league MVP almost always plays quarterback for a 1- or 2-seed, this market almost always has legs in January. Here is how the top double-market odds stack up as we head into Week 9:
MVP + SUPER BOWL WINNER ODDS 2026/27 SEASON TEAM & PLAYER ODDS Bills & Josh Allen +1200 49ers & Brock Purdy +2000 Bengals & Joe Burrow +3000 Bears & Caleb Williams +3500 Jaguars & Trevor Lawrence +5000 Chiefs & Patrick Mahomes +6000 Rams & Matthew Stafford +15000 Packers & Jordan Love +15000 Lions & Jared Goff +15000 Patriots & Drake Maye +15000 Lions & Jahmyr Gibbs +20000 Cowboys & Dak Prescott +20000 Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook | Current at writingSmart Midseason Futures Strategy
Navigating futures odds at the halfway mark of an 18-week season requires discipline:
Protect Your Bankroll: Futures lock up capital for months. Avoid over-leveraging on short favorites, and use small unit sizes when targeting high-payout combo markets. Base Bets on Data, Not Buzz: Prime-time storylines and single-game overreactions frequently distort betting lines. Rely on efficiency metrics and upcoming schedule difficulty to spot true value. Play the Long Game: With nine weeks left in the regular season, market shifts are guaranteed. Stay patient and avoid knee-jerk decisions based on a single Sunday performance. Gamble Responsibly: Futures bets are meant to add excitement to the season. Only wager what you can afford to lose.New users must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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