We look ahead to Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League clash with our Man City vs PSG prediction and preview, as the two-time reigning European champions head to the Etihad Stadium.
Man City vs PSG: The Key Stats
Manchester City are made slight favourites by Opta’s supercomputer, with a 44.1% win probability to Paris Saint-Germain’s 32.0%. This will be the ninth meeting between Man City and PSG, with the Citizens winning four of the previous eight (D2 L2) and going unbeaten in the four matches they have hosted (W3 D1). PSG could become just the second team to go 10+ consecutive games against English sides in the European Cup/UEFA Champions League without losing.Manchester City responded to a tumultuous couple of weeks on Sunday, as they beat 10-man Liverpool 3-0 at Anfield.
Man City fans in the away end soaked in the victory and revelled in their team’s show of defiance, after the club were found guilty of breaching Premier League rules between 2009 and 2018. City have lodged an appeal, while awaiting news of a sanction.
Perhaps fittingly, then, it is another state-backed club next up for City, as they host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League.
PSG have gone from the Champions League’s nearly men to two-time winners of the competition in the last couple of years.
Luis Enrique’s team have not made the best of starts in Ligue 1, but they can probably afford a sluggish couple of months before clicking into gear.
They started their quest for a third straight Champions League crown in style with an emphatic 6-1 hammering of Slovan Bratislava last month.
Rayan Cherki has averaged 4.1 defensive line-breaking passes per 90 for City in the Champions League. Since the start of last season, this is the second-highest average of any player in the competition (min. 300 minutes played), only behind Lee Kang-In (4.5).
And if he scores in this match, Elliot Anderson. The latter, in particular, has had a fantastic start in a City shirt, as he looks to help fill the void left by Rodri’s departure to Barcelona.
Anderson led the way in the win over Liverpool for touches (100), accurate passes (71/78) and successful duels (11/17). This is yet another chance for the England international to show his quality against top-level opposition.
Man City vs PSG Head-to-Head
This will be the ninth meeting between Man City and PSG, with the Citizens winning four of the previous eight (D2 L2) and going unbeaten in the four matches they have hosted (W3 D1).
Of teams they have faced 5+ times in major European competition, only against Bayern Munich (52.9% – 9/17) have PSG lost a higher percentage of their matches than they have against Man City (50% – 4/8).
PSG are unbeaten in their last 11 games in the Champions League (W7 D4), only once having a longer run without defeat in the competition: 13 matches between October 2012 and November 2013.
And their record against English teams is a good omen for Luis Enrique’s team.
PSG could become just the second team to go 10+ consecutive games against English sides in the European Cup/Champions League without losing (currently unbeaten in nine – W7 D2), after Real Madrid between 2011 and 2017 (11 games).
Man City vs PSG Prediction
The Opta supercomputer has run 10,000 pre-match, data-led simulations, and it is Man City who come out as the favourites.
They triumphed in 44.1% of the sims, while PSG came out on top in 32.0%, so it’s a close one to call.
There is a 23.9% chance of a draw.
Man City vs PSG Predicted Lineups
Manchester City: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Marc Guéhi, Rúben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Elliot Anderson, Enzo Fernández, Rayan Cherki, Phil Foden, Antoine Semenyo, Erling Haaland.
Head coach: Enzo Maresca
Paris Saint-Germain: Matvey Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, João Neves, Désiré Doué, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé.
Head coach: Luis Enrique
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 16,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Man City vs PSG: Champions League Preview Opta Analyst.
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