A bit of a delay to build up suspense is to be expected, but Nigel Farage arrived nearly an hour late for his biggest set piece speech of the year at Reform UK’s annual conference. The Reform leader had a bruising morning, with two of his closest aides stepping down following a Channel 4 News investigation appearing to show them discussing ways of securing money from a US-based donor without breaching UK electoral laws. (Farage and his aides deny any wrongdoing). The donor was actually an actor in an undercover expose executed by journalists from the organisation, Verbatim – incredibly, Reform does not even seem to have checked that the wealthy donor flashing the cash actually existed.
Four months ago, as Reform UK rode highest in the polls, there was a widespread expectation that the UK could well be on course to a Farage-led government as Labour, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats floundered. Since then, Reform, and specifically its once-charismatic leader, are the ones who have been floundering.
The “First 100 Days” theme of Reform’s Birmingham conference is designed to consolidate the impression that it really will happen: that after an election he predicted will be in spring 2027, Farage will be prime minister and in command of a majority.
Then he says he will declare a “national emergency”, grabbing the power to make parliament sit around the clock to force through his laws in three months. Cabinet ministers who fail to deliver will be sacked and the House of Lords will be “swept away” by referendum if it is obstructive. Recalcitrant civil servants will be replaced by “people from business” and Farage will consider the appointments of any judges hiding behind “outdated” laws.
Farage’s Trumpian determination to trample checks and balances to deliver “what the people want” has never been more explicit. Many will question whether his 100-day scenario is even feasible under our non-presidential system. Still, “the Establishment” has not so much been warned as threatened.
Of course, Farage and Reform UK have to get to No 10 first. As the leader sees it, Reform’s task is “taking on the Conservative party”, presumably by recruiting their voters and defectors. He claimed credit for “Vote Reform to get rid of Starmer” accusing Labour of “public spending hopelessly out of control”.
But he offered no clue as to how a Reform government would balance the books. He would “slash” benefits and cut the number of people going to university, but the pensions triple lock would remain, while “working people” and top rate taxpayers will get tax cuts. There were no pledges on health or defence spending, with “frontline people” on these vital areas still to be appointed.
The big obstacle to his vision manifested in the video before the leader hit the stage, accompanied by the now familiar bursts of blue smoke and sparks. “Whatever elements of the media may do… I can’t be bought” a softly spoken Farage declared. Of the latest sting, he declared that the party had received no money and had not commissioned the two opinion polls Reform was accused of paying for. It was just “a little local difficulty”. He almost choked up, noting that two old allies – not mere “contractors” as he described them earlier that day – had departed for “injudicious… loose pub talk… a bit of boasting and a bit of Jack the laddery”. It’s been suggested that Farage only agreed to dispense with Dan Jukes and James Orr under pressure from the likes of Lee Anderson, who was forced to tough out media interviews.
As for the undeclared personal gift of £5m, which has been in the headlines for months, Farage insisted that this was for security “that might just keep me alive”. The conference had “Boring, Boring” ready to flash up on the big when “screamers” in the audience conveniently interrupted the great man’s flow.
The danger for Farage is that all this makes Reform look as bad, if not worse, than the mainstream parties voters are disillusioned with. It may be “no coincidence” that the expose happened on the eve of this big flashy conference. But Reform is a big party now aspiring to be in government. It will be a hard task persuading the public outside the conference hall that it is indeed uniquely the victim of a “highly coordinated campaign of attack”, rather than culpably careless.
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