Can Internazionale retain their Serie A title? Who will qualify for the Champions League? And can the promoted clubs avoid relegation? We answer all the key questions with our Italian Serie A 2026-27 season predictions via the Opta supercomputer.
The 2026-27 Serie A begins on 22 August, with reigning champions Internazionale hoping to make a statement against newly promoted Monza at San Siro, while Cesc Fabregas’ Como travel to Udinese.
Cristian Chivu enjoyed a strong debut season at the helm with Inter, guiding them to a domestic double after also winning the Coppa Italia.
Chivu became the fifth manager ever to win the Scudetto in his first season with Inter in Serie A, after Arpad Weisz in 1929-30, Alfredo Foni in 1952-53, Giovanni Invernizzi in 1970-71 (who took over the team in November) and José Mourinho in 2008-09.
There will be plenty of unknowns for Inter to deal with during their title defence, with many potential challengers undergoing a managerial change.
Napoli won the Supercoppa Italiana last season and finished second in the league under Antonio Conte, but Massimiliano Allegri will be taking charge at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona this term.
Allegri’s vacancy at AC Milan has been filled by former Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim, while Gennaro Gattuso will lead Lazio in 2026-27 following his departure from the Italy head coach role earlier this year.
Maurizio Sarri takes his experience to Atalanta, though Roma and Juventus have stuck with Gian Piero Gasperini and Luciano Spalletti, respectively.
Venezia and Frosinone gained automatic promotion to Serie A, but can they maintain their top-flight status this season?
Here, using the 10,000 data-led simulations run by the Opta supercomputer, we assess how the 2026-27 Serie A season could pan out.
Who Will Win the Serie A Title?
Just as they were last season, Inter are expected to win the Serie A title by the Opta supercomputer.
Inter won the league by 11 points last season, scoring the most goals (89) and conceding the joint-fourth-lowest (35), with Como (29), Roma (31) and Juventus (34) conceding fewer.
Chivu has strengthened his backline for their title defence, bringing in serial winner Donyell Malen‘s loan move from Aston Villa permanent.
Among players who have finished a Serie A season with fewer than 20 appearances in the era of three points per win, only Zlatan Ibrahimovic (15 goals in 19 appearances in 2020-21) has bettered Malen’s 14 goals in 18 matches last season.
While Roma have a 12.7% chance of winning the league, Fàbregas’ Como are given a 13.6% probability of lifting the Scudetto.
Como’s confidence will be high after their 4-1 win over Cremonese on the final day of last season saw them achieve Champions League qualification for the first time in their history.
A potential title charge will be boosted after star player Randal Kolo Muani.
The Opta supercomputer gives Juventus an 11.4% chance of winning Serie A in 2026-27, while Napoli (7.5%) and Atalanta (6.8%) have outside chances to finish top.
It would be a dangerous move to rule out Napoli following the appointment of Allegri; only Giovanni Trapattoni (seven) has won Serie A more often than him.
Who Will Qualify for the Champions League?
The race for the Champions League positions in 2025-26 went down to the wire as Como leapfrogged both Milan and Juventus on the final day of the season to finish fourth.
All 20 teams have at least a 0.9% chance of clinching a spot in UEFA’s premier competition, though the Opta supercomputer has four clear favourites for the positions.
Inter, Roma, Como and Juventus have been backed to qualify for the Champions League, with the Juve given a 47.8% probability of clinching a return to the competition.
Napoli are predicted as more likely to finish outside the top four than in it, but still have a 38.4% chance of retaining their place among Europe’s elite clubs.
A key component of Napoli’s potential success in 2026-27 will be the fitness of Patrick Cutrone completed a permanent move from Como.
Cutrone has scored 28 goals and provided nine assists in 169 Serie A appearances across his career, bringing plenty of experience to the Monza squad.
Frosinone are also one of the most likely teams to go down at 40.7%, while the last spot could be fought between Venezia (33.7%) and Lecce (34.3%).
Venezia’s hopes of avoiding an immediate drop back to Serie B will lie on the shoulders of
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