The FedEx Cup Playoffs culminates with a different format, but a lot feels the same heading into the three tournaments. Look no further than who’s the golfer to beat – Scottie Scheffler.
Scottie Scheffler is the favorite.
That’s been the start of just about every golf article for the past two-and-a-half years, and it’s true again heading into the PGA Tour’s three-event FedEx Cup Playoffs.
The Tour Championship finale (Aug. 27-30 in Atlanta) is back to being a regular event – no more staggered scoring, just 30 golfers playing 72 holes to determine a playoff champion. Barring some sort of injury or cataclysmic collapse, Scheffler, who won the 2024 FedEx Cup Playoffs, will still be the favorite.
The intrigue in the first two weeks of the playoffs boils down entirely to golfers making the next tournament. With 750 FedEx Cup points to the winners of the FedEx St. Jude (this week in Memphis, Tennessee) and the BMW (Aug. 20-23 in St. Louis), winning either event almost certainly means a ticket to the final week at East Lake Golf Club.
For 98% of the field, winning won’t be the outcome.
FedEx Cup Playoffs
St. Jude Championship (Aug 13-16) – TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee (Purse: $20M; Previous Winner: Justin Rose) BMW Championship (Aug. 20-23) – Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis (Purse: $20M; Previous Winner: Scottie Scheffler) Tour Championship (Aug. 17-30) – East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta (Purse: $40M; Previous Winner: Tommy Fleetwood)For the most part, the last five in for next week (ranks 46-50) are the ones at risk of dropping out, while everyone from 51-70 is alive to jump in. Jackson Koivun, a rookie who already has a win under his belt after graduating from Auburn in the spring, secured the final playoff spot. At 581 points in the standings, he’ll likely need at least 250 points (a top-seven finish) at TPC Southwind to make it through to next week.
None of the golfers in the top 10 of the FedEx Cup standings has won a PGA Tour event since Chris Gotterup captured the John Deere Classic July 2-5 in Silvis, Illinois.The Bubbles
Jordan Spieth is the biggest name in the FedEx Cup Playoffs who is at risk of missing next week’s second event. He’s 54th in the standings and down to 73rd in the FRACAS (Field Rating and Course-Adjusted Strokes Gained) global rankings, so his game is still below his expectations – reduced as they are.
Our eyes drift immediately to the aforementioned Koivun. FRACAS has him at 14th in the world right now and gives him about a 15% chance to make the next round. He’s good enough to play with the biggest golf names.
Corey Conners is the other golfer outside the top 50 who is playing better than his current standing. Conners (59th in the standings) hasn’t had a top-five finish in 2026, but his game is coming around and his long-term baseline is still 28th in the world, strong enough that FRACAS believes the late-season resurgence.
Within the top 35, Rickie Fowler (28th in standings) and Robert MacIntyre (31st) are golfers to watch. It wasn’t long ago Fowler was relying on sponsor exemptions to make fields, but after a comeback year, he’s 31st in FRACAS and has been on the doorstep for a win several times. MacIntyre has been the best of those who got their card through DP World Tour elevation, though that first PGA win has eluded him. Both are safe to make the BMW, but they’ll be fighting for a spot at the Tour Championship.
Worst Who Made the FedEx Cup Playoffs
At 278th in the world, South Africa’s Aldrich Potgieter is FRACAS’ lowest-ranked golfer to make the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He has two top-10 finishes this year, but has missed 11 cuts in 17 tournaments that had a cut. He hits the ball a mile and can get hot with the putter, but moving up from 67th in the standings against a tough field is going to be a tall task.
The Best Who Didn’t
This “award” is restricted to those with PGA cards; LIV golfers cannot qualify. The unfortunate recipient of the “The Best Who Missed” award goes to Davis Thompson.
Now 30th in FRACAS, Thompson started to get hot just a little too late into the season to make up for a poor start. He had a chance to sneak into the top 70 of the standings at the Wyndham this past weekend before bogeying his final two holes, dropping him from a tie for seventh to T-14. Staying at seventh wouldn’t have gotten him in, but playing the last two at 1-under instead would have seen him jump up to around 66th.
Thompson will have to work his way back into the Signature Events through the fall series, but he’s still a top golfer and we’re confident he’ll be back.
Honorable Mention
FRACAS 39th Doug Ghim – 93rd in FedEx Cup FRACAS 43rd Keegan Bradley – 74th in FedEx Cup FRACAS 47th Christiaan Bezuidenhout – 97th in FedEx CupFor more coverage, follow along on social media on Instagram, Bluesky, Facebook and X.
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