El-Sayed did not deliver a resounding defeat to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, Governor Gretchen Whitmer, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, and other parts of the center-left Democratic establishment who backed Stevens, as his supporters hoped. The election returns suggest that El-Sayed struggled with rural voters in particular. Looking forward to the general election, that data has to worry Democrats, who tend to lose elections to Republicans because they are blown out in small towns.
The center-left both in Michigan and nationally leaned into the case it regularly uses to defeat progressive candidates: electability. Stevens, centrists claimed, would have a better chance of winning in a general election than El-Sayed. That that argument didn’t fully resonate in Michigan, the swingiest of swing states, is a huge setback for the center-left. If El-Sayed wins in November, that electability case against progressives will be even more weakened, perhaps easing the path to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the party’s 2028 nominee.
I was dismayed to see Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong, another progressive, fumble recently when asked about her past comments criticizing the Thanksgiving holiday. Can El-Sayed and his supporters discipline themselves, the way that Mamdani and his camp did in the months leading up to the general election in New York last year? They need to.
It’s an earthquake in Democratic politics to have Bernie Sanders’s candidate defeat Gretchen Whitmer’s candidate in Michigan. But the real goal must be to keep Donald Trump’s candidate from winning this seat. Haley Stevens could have done that. But Abdul El-Sayed will get that chance. He’s electable. He just won an election. Now, Democrats, center and left, in Michigan and beyond, need to do everything possible to get him elected in November.
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