Through his infamous and oft-cited first half of last season (2025), Pete Crow-Armstrong slashed .265/.302/.544 (131 wRC+) with 25 HRs and 27 stolen bases.
At the time of the All-Star break, that performance was valued at 4.6 fWAR, a monstrous sum behind only MVP candidates Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh, and Bobby Witt Jr. It was exciting, impressive, and, for a while, career-defining. And yet … this season’s first half puts that one to SHAME.
For the purposes of this post, I’m going to set aside all of the underlying, predictive statistics that make this season’s first-half performance 10x more sustainable than the last one. Even though it’s arguably more important to learn that PCA has nearly tripled his walk rate while making more contact on pitches in the zone and offering at fewer pitches out of the zone, which, when combined with dramatically increased swing speeds, is resulting in harder-than-ever contact … I’m not going to bring that up.
Instead, I’m going to focus on the results. Because, as the kids say, PCA’s first half this year is stat-mogging 2025. And even more impressively, that first-half performance would be one of the most valuable Cubs seasons of ALL TIME … even if it ended today.
But let’s start internally, with PCA first-half vs first-half.
On the one hand, it’s fair to point out that last year, PCA hit more homers (25 vs 21) and stole a few more bases (27 vs 24) by the time the All-Star break rolled around. But that’s where the argument for 2025 over 2026 ends.
2026
AVG: .265 –> .291 OBP: .302 –> .386 SLG: .544 –> .531 OPS: .848 –> .917 wOBA: .356 –> .395 wRC+: 131 –> 153 WAR: 4.6 –> 6.0And it’s that bottom figure, his 6.0 fWAR, that I want to linger on for a moment. Because I don’t think it’s quite clear how completely absurd that is.
In the entire history of this franchise, there have been just 55 FULL SEASONS in which a Cubs player has earned at least 6.0 WAR, with only 28 different players accomplishing in a full season what PCA just did in half a year.
Some other reference points:
In 2025, only 10 position players and 3 pitchers finished the year with more than 6.0 WAR Anthony Rizzo’s best season (2014) featured 5.3 WAR total. And his 155 wRC+ is barely better than PCA’s current 153 wRC+ mark. In his MVP-winning 2016 season, Kris Bryant finished with 7.5 WAR, just 1.5 more than PCA already has at the break. In his famous 2005 season, Derrek Lee. (7.0 fWAR) finished with just 1.0 more win than PCA has already earned. No other player this year (position or pitcher) has earned more than 4.8 WAR to date. Only Shohei Ohtani’s combined 6.3 fWAR (3.3 WAR as a position player + 3.0 WAR) is remotely close to PCA. Obviously, that gives Ohtani the edge, but he’s also … the greatest baseball player to have ever lived? So … yeah.Indeed, even if PCA’s second half was as brutally awful/terrible/rotten/no good as 2025 (as in, the same performance from here on out), he’d finish with one of the top-30 seasons in Cubs franchise history by fWAR.
But here’s the thing … I already told you this was more sustainable. So I think there’s reason to believe he could finish with something close to the very best Cubs season ever (for a position player). I don’t think he’ll ultimately top Rogers Hornsby’s 1929 campaign (11.0 WAR), but Sammy Sosa’s 9.9 WAR in 2001 (second highest) certainly feels within reach.
But that’s assuming things go perfectly from here, which, hey, maybe they won’t. Fortunately, we don’t have to guess blindly. We can use the rest-of-season projections to estimate a conservative, realistic final tally.
According to ZiPS, Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to amass another 2.5 WAR from now until the end of the season, which would put him at 8.5 WAR overall. And among his Cubs position player peers, that would tie him with Ron Santo’s 1966 season for seventh-best all-time by a Chicago Cub.
So for as frustrating as this season has been at times, I think it’s worth remembering that we are watching one of the single greatest seasons from a Chicago Cubs player EVER. Enjoy that. Remember that. Because this really is something special.
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