The movie, starring Catherine Laga'aia as Moana and Dwayne Johnson reprising his role as Maui, pulled in $4.5 million during Thursday previews. Industry estimates project an opening weekend between $60 million and $65 million, though some forecasts are softer, hovering closer to $40 million.
For comparison, other Disney live-action remakes have landed on both ends of the spectrum. 'Dumbo' opened to $45 million in 2019, and 2025's 'Snow White' debuted with $42 million, both considered underwhelming for the studio. Meanwhile, 'Lilo & Stitch,' 'The Lion King' and 'Beauty and the Beast' all opened above $100 million and went on to become major hits.
'Moana' isn't the only new release competing for audiences this weekend. Warner Bros.' horror sequel 'Evil Dead Burn' is estimated to open between $15 million and $20 million after a $2.3 million preview haul.
In comparison, A24's 'The Invite' expands nationwide with hopes of adding $4 million to $5 million. Meanwhile, holdovers 'Minions & Monsters' and 'Toy Story 5' are expected to bring in another $17 million to $22 million and $18 million to $20 million, respectively, in their following weekends.
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