Egypt could be without Mohamed Salah when they take on Australia in the last 32 of the FIFA World Cup in Dallas. Look ahead with our Australia vs Egypt prediction and preview.
Australia vs Egypt: The Key Insights
Egypt are narrow favourites according to the Opta supercomputer, having won against Australia in 39.7% of its pre-match simulations. This will be Australia’s third FIFA World Cup knockout game; their first two saw them lose to the eventual winners, going down 1-0 to Italy in 2006 and 2-1 to Argentina in 2022. It is only a second knockout game at the finals for Egypt, although their first was a 4-2 loss to Hungary way back in 1934, when the World Cup did not have a group stage.Jordan Bos on the opposite side of the defence.
A last-16 meeting with reigning champions Argentina is likely for the victors of this match, although their opponents Cape Verde proved themselves strong opponents with their draw against Spain in the group stage.
Australia vs Egypt Head-to-Head
Australia and Egypt have met just twice previously in senior competition. The Socceroos won 4-3 on penalties after a goalless draw in the 1987 President’s Cup, while Egypt were 3-0 victors in their most recent encounter, a 2010 friendly.
However, five members of this Australia squad (Kye Rowles, Harry Souttar, Riley McGree, Connor Metcalfe, Cameron Devlin) were part of the team who were eliminated from the Tokyo Olympics by a 2-0 loss to Egypt.
Egypt’s victory over New Zealand was their first meeting with a side from Oceania – although it’s worth noting that Australia come under the AFC confederation these days.
Australia have avoided defeat in their previous World Cup meetings with teams from Africa. They drew 1-1 with Ghana in 2010 and beat Tunisia 1-0 in 2022.
Australia vs Egypt Prediction
The Opta supercomputer’s 25,000 pre-match simulations saw Egypt emerge with a slightly higher win probability of 39.7%.
There is not much between that and Australia’s win probability of 28.4%, which is close to the 31.9% chance of the game being level after 90 minutes.
This is the closest tie in the round of 32, with Egypt having a 55.8% chance of progression overall, compared to Australia’s 44.2%.
Australia vs Egypt Squads
Australia: Mathew Ryan, Paul Izzo, Patrick Beach, Milos Degenek, Alessandro Circati, Jacob Italiano, Jordan Bos, Jason Geria, Kai Trewin, Aziz Behich, Harry Souttar, Cameron Burgess, Lucas Herrington, Connor Metcalfe, Ajdin Hrustic, Awer Mabil, Aiden O’Neill, Cameron Devlin, Cristian Volpato, Jackson Irvine, Paul Okon-Engstler, Mathew Leckie, Mohamed Touré, Nestory Irankunda, Nishan Velupillay, Tete Yengi.
Egypt: Mohamed El Shenawy, El Mahdy Soliman, Mostafa Shobeir, Mohamed Alaa, Yasser Ibrahim, Mohamed Hany, Hossam Abdelmaguid, Ramy Rabia, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Ahmed Fatouh, Karim Hafez, Tarek Alaa, Emam Ashour, Mostafa Zico, Hamdi Fathy, Mohanad Lasheen, Nabil Emad Dunga, Marwan Attia, Mahmoud Saber, Trezeguet, Hamza Abdelkarim, Mohamed Salah, Haissem Hassan, Ibrahim Adel, Omar Marmoush, Zizo.
Australia vs Egypt Predicted Lineups
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Australia vs Egypt Prediction: World Cup 2026 Match Preview Opta Analyst.
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