In fact, almost no one in Washington seems particularly excited about this deal, either the outdated version that leaked late yesterday, or the official one a Senior U.S. Official read aloud on a call with reporters today. Many downright hate it. And in private, more than a few nat-sec nerds on the Hill say this looks an awful like the early stages of what Obama ended up landing.
Yet to be clear, this agreement—due to be signed on Friday in Switzerland—is far from the comprehensive agreement struck during the Obama era. This is merely a 60-day ceasefire that is “extendable with mutual consent” while Iran and the United States talk about Iran’s nuclear program, which was Trump’s stated premise to get this whole affair in motion back in February.
The South Carolina Republican is a typically buoyant cheerleader of all things Trump. So as the White House was circulating a concise tentative agreement on Wednesday that would stop missiles flying in the region and reopen one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, Graham spoke with the United States’ top negotiator, Steve Witkoff. After the call, he offered tepid praise “in as much as the Strait of Hormuz will begin to open, and the hostilities with Iran will stop.”
Graham may end up proving the perfect barometer of the GOP opinion of the still-being-processed detente: hopeful that Trump’s risky strikes on Iran, including the assassination of its Supreme Leader, prove worth the costs of life and cash.
Sen. Bill Cassidy, the Louisiana Republican whose re-election bid Trump killed, was criticizing a leaked draft of the plan as 'not a very good plan" even before the White House unveiled the official one. By Wednesday afternoon, his assessment was even more withering. "Before the war, the strait was open, Iran was being crushed by sanctions, and 13 service members were still alive. Now, 13 Americans are dead, families have paid billions at the pump, sanctions will be lifted, and the bombing has stopped," he wrote on social media. "This is the worst foreign policy blunder in decades."
Trump’s first-term Vice President, Mike Pence, was equally critical on Wednesday, telling CNN “it smacks of appeasement.”
There are many, many unresolved issues that remain on the table—if they’re on the table at all. The agreement says nothing about human rights in Iran, an issue that sparked protests there and reminded Trump of that nation. Nor does it address Americans detained in Iran. Nor does it deal with Iran’s support for proxy groups like Hezbollah. Nor does it put in place a timeline for Iran’s nuclear disarmament.
So while Trump is heralding the step as a leap forward, even his apologists in Washington see shortcomings. It’s why no one is lashing themselves to Trump’s version as particularly permanent—as they worry that the end result may find Trump doing little better than the 2015 deal that Trump has spent the last decade deriding.
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