There is a clear trend in the latest MLB mock drafts, which have the Cubs going after college pitching with pick 23 (Liam Peterson, Hunter Dietz, Mason Edwards among them). Some of that is guesswork based on the Cubs’ organizational needs, but I think a lot of it is just the product of that being the cluster of talent that’ll be there on the board when the Cubs are picking in the first round.
BA’s latest mock from Carlos Collazo sends the Cubs Coastal Carolina righty Cameron Flukey:
“23. Cubs — Cameron Flukey, RHP, Coastal Carolina Bonus Pool: $9,644,100 Slot Value: $3,947,600
If the draft unfolds like how I’ve laid it out here, the 20s could see a decent run of college pitchers. Flukey is one of the best arms available, and the Cubs may not have expected to have a chance at signing him before the season started. His range is volatile because he didn’t pitch much this spring due to injury, but most teams I’ve talked to expect him to go somewhere in this range. Other names I’d wonder about with Chicago include Logan Schmidt, Trevor Condon and Mason Edwards.”
The may not have expected to have a chance at signing him line is the key one.
Flukey entered the 2026 season as Baseball America’s number three overall draft prospect (MLB Pipeline’s number nine), and the preseason national pitcher of the year for many. He’s a 6-foot-6 righty who pitched to a 3.19 ERA with 118 strikeouts and just 24 walks in 101.2 innings last year as Coastal Carolina advanced to the national championship series.
Coming into the spring, Cameron Flukey was in the conversation for top-five overall.
But then, after one start in February, he suffered a stress fracture in his rib. He missed nearly ten weeks, returned in late April, and has had a small handful of post-injury starts to show he’s still himself. Overall, he’s thrown just 24.0 innings this year (4.13 ERA, 31 K, 9 BB).
For what it’s worth, his coach Kevin Schnall called Flukey a “slam dunk first-rounder, slam dunk major league pitcher” upon his return, per Baseball America, and the velocity is reportedly still there in the upper-90s. But limited 2026 innings combined with the injury means Flukey is less likely to be going in the range he might’ve otherwise been projected, hence the Cubs maybe have a shot at him at 23. The Cubs have shown a willingness to gamble on guys in these types of situations – huge talent an upside, injury questions – and that would seem all the more true the further down in the first round they draft.
Worth noting that BA and MLB Pipeline don’t agree on how far Flukey is actually going to slide. Pipeline’s last mock had him going 12th to the Angels, which would be much closer to his pre-injury draft slotting. He’s probably a tough one to project because of how highly he was regarded before the injury.
Among the alternate names mentioned up there for the Cubs: Logan Schmidt is a California high school lefty (LSU commit) who’s been climbing boards, Trevor Condon is a Georgia prep outfielder, and Mason Edwards is the USC lefty BA itself had going to the Cubs last time.
With about a month to go to the MLB Draft, we’re getting a better sense of the kinds of players who could still be on the board at 23, even if it’s probably still a very speculative exercise to pick a particular name. I wonder if the Cubs would be thrilled to land Flukey, though.
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