As the 2026 MLB season charges in June, the race for the American League Cy Young Award has developed into an absolute thriller. Preseason expectations have been shattered, and the odds board has adjusted to a new crop of dominant arms. Let’s break down the updated AL Cy Young race and see where the smart money might be heading.
AL Cy Young Odds
The pitching hierarchy in the American League has seen a major changing of the guard. Yankees starter Cam Schlittler has established himself as the premier arm in the junior circuit, while other preseason favorites have faded. Meanwhile, a few surprising names from Cleveland and Toronto are making significant noise.
*Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images AL Cy Young Award Odds Player Odds WAR W-L ERA SO WHIP SV Cam Schlittler NYY +210 2.97-31.89840.8650 Dylan Cease TOR +550 1.73-33.05921.2100 Jacob deGrom TEX +567 1.14-43.48781.0050 Gavin Williams CLE +900 2.09-33.20941.0780 Bryan Woo SEA +1900 1.15-33.44680.9620 Shane McClanahan TBR +3000 1.76-22.45531.0180 Davis Martin CHW +3000 2.78-22.61731.1060 Joe Ryan MIN +3500 1.74-33.20790.9670 Drew Rasmussen TBR +4000 1.14-23.36551.0170 Max Fried NYY +4000 1.74-33.21501.0050 Nathan Eovaldi TEX +4000 0.45-64.10741.1790 Logan Gilbert SEA +4445 1.14-43.79771.1000 Kevin Gausman TOR +5000 1.74-43.36741.0930 Jose Soriano LAA +5000 2.46-42.72851.2110 Tarik Skubal DET +5000 1.73-22.70450.9460 Emerson Hancock SEA +6000 1.74-22.80700.9480 Parker Messick CLE +6500 2.86-12.21741.0670 Ranger Suarez BOS +6500 0.72-33.38571.1590 Luis Gil NYY +9000 -0.21-26.0591.3450 Taj Bradley MIN +10000 1.75-23.56701.3190 Trey Yesavage TOR +10000 1.72-22.19391.1620 Shane Bieber CLE +10000 –––––– Louie Varland TOR +10000 2.02-10.28430.9909 Show More Odds via 4for4’s SharpStack | Stats via Baseball-ReferenceQuick AL Odds Analysis
Favorite - Cam Schlittler (+210): Schlittler's breakout campaign has been nothing short of spectacular. He has taken over as the oddsmakers' top choice, sitting at +210. The numbers fully support his position at the top; he currently boasts an elite 1.89 ERA and a sparkling 0.865 WHIP over 76.1 innings. Leading all AL pitchers with a 2.9 WAR while racking up 7 wins and 84 strikeouts, he is firmly in the driver's seat. Value - Dylan Cease (+550): If you are plugging numbers into your betting trackers, Cease represents a strong value play right behind the favorite at +550. He has been missing bats at an elite rate for Toronto, already racking up 92 strikeouts. While his 3.05 ERA and 1.210 WHIP are a bit higher, his sheer strikeout upside and 1.7 WAR keep him firmly in the hunt to challenge for the award. 1 2 3 Title Body text USA TODAY Sports / Imagn Images + "Tap the numbers to explore" Longshot - Parker Messick (+6500): Looking further down the board, Messick provides absolutely incredible longshot value at +6500. The Guardians have a history of developing elite pitching, and Messick is backing it up by sitting right on Schlittler's heels with a 2.8 WAR. Holding a 2.21 ERA with 6 wins and 74 punchouts, his statistical dominance vastly outperforms his current odds.Always Remember To Bet On Sports Responsibly
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