Turmoil in the bond markets, improving economic indicators, and a raft of government aid has economists and investors wondering: Is inflation set to rise in 2021?The likely answer is yes—but only by a healthy amount, and in the short term, because of how activity will resume as the pandemic subsides. There is a sign the markets anticipate this dynamic: They now expect inflation to be higher in the next five years than over the next 10.This finding comes from comparing the interest rates on US government debt to interest rates on Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), special bonds that are linked to price indices. TIPS are guaranteed to protect an investor’s principal from inflation
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