Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction: Opta Supercomputer UEFA Europa League Final Prediction ...Middle East

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Look ahead to Wednesday’s UEFA Europa League final at Tüpraş Stadyumu with our Freiburg vs Aston Villa prediction and preview. Will Unai Emery win this competition once again?

Freiburg vs Aston Villa: Key Stats

The Opta supercomputer makes Aston Villa favourites to win the UEFA Europa League final, with a 67.8% probability of victory for Unai Emery’s team. Emery has managed in five previous major European finals, all in the Europa League, winning four (2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16 with Sevilla, 2020-21 with Villarreal) and losing one (2018-19 with Arsenal). This is only Freiburg’s second-ever major final. They lost to RB Leipzig on penalties in the 2021-22 DFB-Pokal final.

Unai Emery and the UEFA Europa League just go together.

Emery has managed in five previous major European finals, with all of them coming in this competition.

He has won the trophy four times (2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16 with Sevilla, 2020-21 with Villarreal), and his Arsenal team finished as runners-up in 2018-19.

Now, this Europa League expert has the chance to win it for a fifth time, as Aston Villa and Freiburg face off in Istanbul.

This is Emery’s sixth European final, which matches the tallies of Carlo Ancelotti, Alex Ferguson and José Mourinho, and ranks behind only Giovanni Trapattoni (7), while a victory would see him go level with Trapattoni, Ancelotti and Mourinho for major European final wins.

In major European competition, only Ancelotti (five UEFA Champions League titles) has won a single competition more often than Emery’s four Europa League triumphs.

Three managers have won the UEFA Cup/Europa League with two different clubs: Emery, Trapattoni (Juventus twice, Inter) and Mourinho (Porto, Manchester United). No coach has ever done so with three teams.

Emery has managed a competition-leading 115 games in the Europa League overall with five clubs (Arsenal, Villa, Sevilla, Valencia and Villarreal), winning 71 of those matches. His best win-rate is with Villa (85.7% – won 12 of 14 games).

The Spaniard also holds the record for the most wins (71) and has overseen the most goals scored (216) in the history of the UEFA Cup/Europa League.

In contrast, at 41 years and 35 days on the day of this final, Freiburg boss Julian Schuster will be the youngest German coach to take charge of a major European final since a 34-year-old Matthias Sammer in the 2002 UEFA Cup. Sammer lost 3-2 to Feyenoord with Borussia Dortmund.

Freiburg have reached their first European final, becoming the 16th German side to feature in one. They are the first German final debutants since Schalke 04 in the 1996-97 UEFA Cup, who beat Inter on penalties after a 1-1 aggregate draw over two legs.

Villa, on the other hand, are featuring in just their second European showpiece, winning 1-0 against Bayern Munich in the 1982 European Cup final. Only Manchester City have ever had a longer gap between their first two finals (1970 – 2021).

Since the start of 2023-24, no side has won more matches in European competition than Villa (26), and only Arsenal (19) have kept more clean sheets in that time than the Villans’ 16.

Freiburg will be capable of testing that defence, though. They have netted 25 Europa League goals this term – since 2009-10, the only German teams to score more in one season are Werder Bremen in 2009-10 (26), Eintracht Frankfurt in 2018-19 (30) and Bayer Leverkusen in 2023-24 (31).

A particular threat for Villa to handle will be Morgan Rogers, meanwhile, ranks top for chances created (27), expected assists (3.3) and touches in the opposition box (65) in the competition. Since 2009-10, the only Englishman to create more chances in a Europa League campaign is James Milner in 2015-16 for Liverpool (31).

Ahead of Rogers,

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