The nonpartisan budget office cautioned that its analysis was not based on a finalized blueprint because the Defense Department has not publicly detailed the full architecture of a complex system that Trump has touted as “forever ending the missile threat to the American homeland.” Instead, the office said its estimate reflected “one illustrative approach rather than an estimate of a specific Administration proposal.”
The Pentagon official overseeing the project, Gen. Michael Guetlein, said in March that the program would cost $185 billion through 2035—roughly a decade—for what he described as the system’s “objective architecture.”
The “golden dome” concept is partly inspired by Israel’s multilayered air-defense systems, often referred to as the Iron Dome, which have intercepted rockets and missiles fired from Iran and allied militant groups. But Israel’s system is designed to protect a comparatively small geographic area and only shorter-range threats. The American version is intended to defend the entire continental United States, as well as Alaska and Hawaii, against long-range ballistic and hypersonic missiles.
The President said at the time that he wanted the system operational before the end of his term in January 2029, an aggressive timeline for a project that would require massive technological advances and a vast expansion of American missile-defense infrastructure.
Space-based interceptors have emerged as one of the most controversial and costly elements of the proposal. General Guetlein himself has acknowledged the financial risks associated with the space-based interceptor portion of the program. Testifying before lawmakers last month, he said if the Pentagon can’t produce such interceptors affordably, “we will not go into production.”
The Trump Administration has defended the initiative as necessary to counter rapidly evolving missile threats and to modernize American homeland defense capabilities. But the new estimate is likely to intensify scrutiny in Congress over whether the project is technologically feasible, strategically necessary and financially sustainable.
Sen. Jeff Merkley, the Oregon Democrat who requested the CBO analysis, sharply criticized the proposal after the report’s release, calling it “nothing more than a massive giveaway to defense contractors paid for entirely by working Americans.”
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