The second impeachment came more than nine months after the country’s Supreme Court voided the first over a constitutional technicality, but the top court’s decision did not prevent any future attempts.
Duterte will face trial before the Philippine Senate, which observers say is the real battleground: “The manner in which the impeachment trial will play out before the public will shape how voters will look at her candidacy,” Jean Encinas-Franco, a political science professor at the University of the Philippines, tells TIME.
In February, Duterte announced she would run for President in the 2028 national elections. She continues to lead in public opinion polling about who could succeed Marcos, as Philippine Presidents are constitutionally limited to a single six-year term. Duterte joined Marcos’ ticket to secure a landslide victory in the 2022 national elections, but the two have since become political rivals, fomenting a feud that has thrown the country into political and economic turmoil.
If found guilty, the Vice President will be removed from her post and could be barred from public office. However, Manila-based political scientist Cleve Arguelles tells TIME that the impeachment could in actuality consolidate Duterte’s political constituency, “potentially strengthening loyalty among supporters and preserving her viability for 2028.”
Duterte is the highest‑ranking official to be impeached in the Philippines since former President Joseph Estrada in 2000, though that impeachment trial was aborted after prosecutors walked out. Estrada resigned months later.
Of the five impeached public officials in the country’s history, including Duterte, only one—a former Supreme Court Justice—has been convicted.
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