Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction: Who Will Progress to Championship Play-Off Final After First-Leg Draw? ...Middle East

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We look ahead to Tuesday’s Championship play-off semi-final second leg with our Southampton vs Middlesbrough prediction and preview. Who will reach the final at Wembley?

Southampton vs Middlesbrough: The Key Stats

The Opta supercomputer makes Southampton the 44.9% favourites to win the match inside 90 minutes against Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the previous five meetings against Southampton. Boro outshot the Saints 21-6 in the first leg of this play-off semi-final.

Middlesbrough will wonder how they did not manage to beat Southampton in the first leg of their Championship play-off semi-final. Whatever did or didn’t happen in respect of the recent spygate scandal, it did not help the Saints in the first half at the Riverside on Saturday lunchtime.

The shot count was 17-0 in favour of Boro at half-time. The home side accumulated five Opta-defined big chances as they racked up 1.39 expected goals in the opening 45 minutes. The match was more even after the break, with a Matt Targett, along with Aidan Morris, Riley McGree and top scorer Morgan Whittaker. The quartet meant the Boro wing-back created more chances than anyone else across both first-leg ties of this season’s Championship semi-final play-offs. The shots he set up all of came in open play, too.

Indeed, in the regular Championship season, the only defender to create more chances from open play than Targett (44) was Jay Dasilva (46), and the 30-year-old will be key to Middlesbrough’s hopes of a win on the south coast. Manager Kim Hellberg will likely be without Hayden Hackney, Alfie Jones and Darragh Lenihan, who all missed the first leg.

Southampton don’t have many players out either. Alex McCarthy, Mads Roerslev and Jack Stephens are likely unavailable but everyone else should be an option for Tonda Eckert. The Saints manager was grateful to his goalkeeper for escaping the Riverside stadium on level terms.

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