We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League clash at Anfield with our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction and preview. Can the visitors avoid a seventh successive loss?
Liverpool vs Chelsea: The Key Stats
Liverpool are strong favourites with the Opta supercomputer this weekend, taking three points in 52.5% of its pre-match simulations, while Chelsea are given just a 25.7% chance. Liverpool have lost their last two league games against Chelsea, as many defeats as they endured in their previous 20 matches against them (W8 D10). The Blues are on a six-match losing streak in the Premier League and have only lost seven in a row once in their league history, between November and December 1952.Just a few weeks ago, it seemed the battle for Champions League qualification would go down to the wire, with Manchester United, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Chelsea all competing for the remaining places.
Cut to Matchday 36, and the results have effectively already been decided, with Man Utd joining Arsenal and Manchester City as Champions League certainties for next season with their dramatic 3-2 win over the Reds last Sunday.
With Chelsea having dropped out of the race due to a poor run of form, Liverpool and Villa are left as the two remaining contenders, with both now favoured to secure a top-five finish.
Ahead of Saturday’s clash with Chelsea, the Opta supercomputer gives Arne Slot’s side a 98.29% chance of securing Champions League football, with Villa only marginally higher at 95.79%.
But the Reds will need to respond quickly after last weekend’s defeat to Man Utd ended their three-match Premier League winning streak.
It has certainly been a difficult title defence campaign for Liverpool, who have lost 11 matches in the league this season – their most since 2014-15, when they lost 12 under Brendan Rogers. Across all competitions, Slot’s side have suffered 18 defeats – their most since 2009-10 (19).
Many of those losses have stemmed from defensive fragilities, whether through injuries or inconsistent form. In fact, Liverpool have shipped two or more goals in 16 different Premier League matches this season, only conceding more often in 2012-13 (17 games).
Chelsea, meanwhile, have fallen away dramatically in the race for Champions League qualification. The Blues have lost each of their last six Premier League matches and have only ever lost seven on the trot once before, between November and December 1952.
They were also held scoreless in five of those six defeats, finally ending that drought in Monday’s 3-1 loss to a heavily rotated Nottingham Forest side.
There would have been hope that after parting ways with Liam Rosenior, caretaker boss Calum McFarlane would be able to steady the ship, but his second spell in charge this season got off to a rocky start against Forest.
That result left Chelsea ninth in the table, 10 points adrift of the top five, though there was at least encouragement from Alexander Isak and Alisson back into the squad.
Chelsea will be hampered by the absence of goalkeeper
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