In the indictment unsealed in Manhattan federal court, federal prosecutors allege that Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a Master Sergeant with the U.S. Army Special Forces, used sensitive classified information to make multiple bets totaling almost $34,000 on Polymarket, a popular prediction market platform, in the lead-up to the operation on Jan. 3.
Several unnamed officials told CBS News that Van Dyke, 38, of Fayetteville, N.C., was a communications specialist supporting Joint Special Operations Command, a task force that oversees tier-one special mission units.
The indictment said that from around Dec. 8, 2025 to Jan. 5, 2026, Van Dyke was involved in the planning and execution of Maduro’s capture and had access to sensitive, non-public, classified information.
The federal prosecutor’s office in New York added that Van Dyke had signed nondisclosure agreements, in which he promised to “never divulge, publish, or reveal by writing, words, conduct, or otherwise . . . any classified or sensitive information” relating to military operations.
What is he accused of doing?
Between the next day and Jan. 2, 2026, Van Dyke purportedly traded on Maduro- and Venezuela-related contracts 13 times, purchasing approximately $33,934 in “yes” shares.
Trump announced the operation in the early hours of Jan. 3, and Van Dyke won his wagers and allegedly sold his positions for profit. On the same day, he withdrew the proceeds from his Polymarket account and transferred them into a foreign cryptocurrency vault and then a brokerage account.
The indictment added that Van Dyke “took steps to conceal his identity as the trader in the Maduro- and Venezuela-related markets” after, including by asking Polymarket to delete his account and changing the email address registered to his cryptocurrency exchange account to one that was not subscribed under his name.
Polymarket, in a statement posted on X on Thursday, said that when they identified a user trading on classified government information, they referred it to the Justice Department and cooperated with the investigation. “Insider trading has no place on Polymarket,” the statement read. “Today’s arrest is proof the system works.”
How officials have reacted
President Donald Trump was asked about the soldier on Thursday, as well as if he’s concerned about federal employees betting on prediction markets, but he said he didn’t know about the specific case and would “look into it” but wondered if the soldier had bet for or against the success of the operation.
As for suspected insider trading on the outcomes of the war in Iran, Trump said, “Well, the whole world unfortunately has become somewhat of a casino. And you look at what’s going on all over the world, in Europe and every place, they’re doing these betting things. I was never much in favor of it. I don’t like it conceptually, but it is what it is.”
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