ROCHESTER, N.Y. – Tracking some thundery downpours this morning as a storm rolls through. Nothing of concern with this storm as it is weakening, so all it will bring is some lightning and a brief heavy downpour followed by lighter rain for 1-2 hours. We then get a break in the rain with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures soaring into the 70s. Near the lakeshore highs will be in the low to mid 70s, down in the FLX they will be near 80.
Late this afternoon through the evening more storms will roll through. Although severe potential is relatively low, we are closely monitoring this as even now there is uncertainty in storm strength due to a wide range in how unstable the atmosphere will be, as well as the location of said storms due to fragile placement of upper-level shortwave troughs that help to create lift. Greatest chance right now for severe weather is in the Southern Tier, where the primary threats are strong winds, quarter size hail, and local flooding from heavy rain. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out either. Check back in throughout today as we will have more updates on the strength and location of the storm.
The wet and stormy trend continues tomorrow with an almost identical setup. Passing morning showers/thunder, followed by stronger storms later in the day after plenty of warmth and moisture. Again there is uncertainty in the storm placement and strength, so while we are still Green on the Threat Tracker, check back in for updates in case we issue a Yellow Alert.
Rain will be a daily occurrence through Sunday. On that day an upper level trough shoves into the region, which will completely flip our weather pattern. We go from the 70s on Saturday to possibly as low as the upper 30s by Monday… Sunday night into Monday there may even be some flakes falling. Tuesday we are still in the 40s. Good ole WNY weather! Stay tuned for updates.
First Alert Weather: Thundery downpours to start, with more storms later today WHEC.com.
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