The 2026 NFL Draft kicks off April 23 in Pittsburgh, and with the first round less than a month away, the betting market is already pricing in a lot of certainty at the top of the board. DraftKings has draft odds posted for which pick each prospect goes, who drafts them, and a few draft position props worth exploring.
Here is a full breakdown of where things stand.
Jan 19, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza (15) against the Miami Hurricanes in the College Football Playoff National Championship game at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn ImagesNumber 1 Overall Pick Odds
Fernando Mendoza -20000Arvell Reese +8000David Bailey +9000Ty Simpson +9000Rueben Bain Jr. +12000Caleb Downs +12000Jeremiyah Love +20000And more…
There is essentially no market here. Mendoza is widely expected to be the number 1 overall pick after leading Indiana to a 16-0 season and a national championship win over Miami. He finished the 2025 campaign throwing for 3,535 yards and 41 touchdowns en route to winning the Heisman Trophy. The -20000 price reflects that. You would need to bet $20,000 to win $100. There is no value in this market unless you genuinely believe something dramatic happens before April 23.
The Raiders hold the number 1 pick, and every credible mock draft has Mendoza going there. The rest of the field at this position is essentially a futures market on chaos.
Number 2 Overall Pick Odds
Arvell Reese -230David Bailey +310Sonny Styles +1200Rueben Bain Jr. +1400Jeremiyah Love +4000Ty Simpson +5000And more…
The New York Jets hold the second overall pick, and the market has Arvell Reese as a heavy favorite to land there. Reese is a 6’4″, 241-pound hybrid defender out of Ohio State, projected as a top-10 pick and capable of aligning on the edge, in space, and as a pass rusher in high-leverage situations.
He finished 2025 with 6.5 sacks and 69 total tackles, and brings a combination of size, a 4.47-second 40-yard dash, and positional versatility that few players in recent draft classes have matched. David Bailey at +310 for the second pick is the only realistic alternative worth noting.
Number 3 Overall Pick Odds
David Bailey +230Francis Mauigoa +275Arvell Reese +380Jeremiyah Love +600Sonny Styles +900Spencer Fano +1300And more…
Arizona holds the third pick. This market is more open than picks one and two, with David Bailey and Francis Mauigoa both priced as slight co-favorites. Reese is live here at +380 if the Jets pass on him at two, and Jeremiyah Love at +600 represents interesting value if Arizona decides to swing on a skill player.
Number 4 Overall Pick Odds
Jeremiyah Love +110David Bailey +300Rueben Bain Jr. +475Sonny Styles +650Carnell Tate +1100And more…
Tennessee holds the fourth pick and has been one of the most discussed landing spots for Jeremiyah Love, and the market reflects it. Love is the slight favorite here at +110, which is essentially a coin flip. He rushed for 1,372 yards and 18 touchdowns in only 12 games in 2025, winning the Doak Walker Award as college football’s best running back. His 4.36 forty time at the combine matched that of Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs despite Love carrying more weight.
Number 5 Overall Pick Odds
Sonny Styles +195Caleb Downs +285Jeremiyah Love +400Francis Mauigoa +850Carnell Tate +1000Spencer Fano +1100And more…
The New York Giants hold the fifth pick. Sonny Styles and Caleb Downs, both Ohio State defenders, are the top options here. Love at +400 is the interesting alternate play if he falls past Tennessee.
Number 6 Overall Pick Odds
Carnell Tate +185Monroe Freeling +225Francis Mauigoa +600David Bailey +900Jordyn Tyson +950Spencer Fano +1000And more…
Cleveland holds the sixth pick. Carnell Tate and Monroe Freeling lead this market, with Freeling at +225 drawing attention as a potential offensive lineman the Browns could target early.
Dec 31, 2025; Arlington, TX, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes linebacker Arvell Reese (8) gets into position during the 2025 Cotton Bowl and quarterfinal game of the College Football Playoff at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn ImagesDraft Position Props
Arvell Reese Draft PositionOver 2.5 +170 / Under 2.5 -230
The market is confident Reese goes in the top two. Under 2.5 at -230 aligns with what the pick-specific odds already show, with him as a heavy favorite to land at pick two.
Jeremiyah Love Draft PositionOver 4.5 -135 / Under 4.5 +105
This is one of the more interesting props on the board. The market leans toward Love going fifth or later, but the +105 on under 4.5 means a top-four landing is nearly a coin flip according to DraftKings. If you believe Tennessee takes him at four, the under is solid value.
Carnell Tate Draft PositionOver 7.5 +140 / Under 7.5 -180
Tate is priced to go in the top seven with -180 juice on the under.
Caleb Downs Draft PositionOver 9.5 -145 / Under 9.5 +115
Downs is expected to go inside the top ten, with the market leaning that direction at -145.
Ty Simpson Draft PositionOver 24.5 -220 / Under 24.5 +160
Simpson is priced as a late first-round pick in most scenarios. The -220 on the over suggests the market sees him going outside the top 24 more often than not.
Kenyon Sadiq Draft PositionOver 15.5 -205 / Under 15.5 +155
Sadiq is projected as a second-half-of-the-first-round selection, with strong confidence he lands outside the top 15.
Which Team Will Draft Jeremiyah Love?
Tennessee Titans -105Washington Commanders +150New York Giants +400Arizona Cardinals +750Minnesota Vikings +1100And more…
Tennessee is the clear favorite at -105, with Washington as the only other team priced with realistic odds. The Titans hold the fourth pick and are the most frequently cited landing spot in mock drafts. The Commanders at +150 represent the best alternate value if you think Washington trades up or Love slips past Tennessee.
Which Team Will Draft Ty Simpson?
Arizona Cardinals +125New York Jets +145LA Rams +425Cleveland Browns +650Pittsburgh Steelers +800And more…
Arizona and the Jets are nearly co-favorites. The Jets hold two first-round picks this year, at two and sixteen, giving them options. If they take Reese at two, Simpson at sixteen becomes a realistic play. Arizona at +125 with the third pick is an interesting angle if the Cardinals pivot away from a defender.
© Troy Wayrynen-Imagn ImagesWhich Team Will Draft Kenyon Sadiq?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +300Carolina Panthers +330Philadelphia Eagles +550LA Rams +600Baltimore Ravens +750And more…
Sadiq’s market is spread out across several teams picking in the mid-to-late first round. Tampa Bay and Carolina lead the board, suggesting the market expects him to go somewhere in the 15 to 20 range. His draft position prop at over 15.5 at -205 supports that read, with the market confident he falls outside the top 15.
Responsible Gambling and Bankroll Management
NFL Draft betting is a unique market because the information landscape shifts daily right up until picks are announced. What looks like a lock today can change after a pre-draft visit, a leaked report, or a surprise trade. Keep your bet sizes reasonable and avoid overloading on futures that depend on a chain of events going exactly right.
Set a budget for your draft betting the same way you would for a game slate. Do not chase a position prop by adding more wagers to offset one that is moving against you. Draft markets move fast and the edge you saw yesterday may not exist by the time you go to place the bet.
If gambling ever feels out of control, visit ncpgambling.org for free and confidential support. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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