Bracketology is hitting hot and heavy as the NCAA Tournament looms, with every win and loss theoretically affecting every team that hasn’t already earned an automatic bid into the 2026 version of March Madness.
That includes the travails of both Miami (OH) and Auburn, two teams that were linked earlier this season when former Tigers coach Bruce Pearl opined on TNT that the RedHawks didn’t deserve an at-large bid if they didn’t win the MAC Tournament.
The drama continued Thursday when Miami’s undefeated season came to a crashing halt in the MAC quarterfinals at the hands of UMass. Minutes after the Minutemen pulled off the upset to send the RedHawks to 31-1 and into at-large consideration, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi released a fresh Bracketology that saw Auburn back out of the Field of 68.
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— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) March 12, 2026Auburn, coached by Pearl’s son Steven, earned a 79-61 victory over Mississippi State in the first round of the SEC Tournament on Wednesday to improve to 17-15 overall. Despite that win, the Tigers are now on the outside looking in as one of Lunardi’s “First Four Out” teams heading into their second-round matchup Thursday against No. 25 Tennessee (3 pm ET, SEC Network).
Tennessee outlasted Auburn 77-69 in Knoxville in their previous meeting Feb. 1 – a loss that kicked off the Tigers’ five-game losing streak.
Here’s the latest odds on Kalshi for Auburn and other SEC bubble teams:
Prediction Markets SEC Bubble Teams to Make Round of 64 Learn more about Prediction Markets Kalshi Texas A&M 99% Texas 86% Missouri 54% Oklahoma 27% Auburn 16% PredictAuburn falls out of Joe Lunardi’s projected NCAA Tournament field due to Miami (OH) loss Saturday Down South.
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